Memphis vs Wichita State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for AAC Tournament

The top-seeded Memphis Tigers (26-5, 16-2 AAC) are squaring off against the No. 8 seed Wichita State Shockers (19-13, 8-10 AAC) in the AAC tournament on Friday at Dickies Arena, at 1 p.m. ET airing on ESPN2.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Memphis vs. Wichita State Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
- Game time: 1 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN2
- Location: Fort Worth, Texas
- Arena: Dickies Arena
Memphis vs. Wichita State Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Memphis win (76.2%)
Before making a wager on Friday's Memphis-Wichita State spread (Memphis -9.5) or over/under (147.5 points), read the betting trends and insights below.
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Memphis vs. Wichita State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Memphis has put together a 15-16-0 record against the spread this season.
- Wichita State has compiled a 16-15-0 record against the spread this season.
- As a 9.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Wichita State is 1-0 against the spread compared to the 2-9 ATS record Memphis puts up as a 9.5-point favorite.
- Against the spread, the Tigers have fared worse at home, covering six times in 15 home games, and six times in 12 road games.
- The Shockers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .375 (6-10-0). Away, it is .636 (7-4-0).
- Memphis' record against the spread in conference games is 7-11-0.
- Wichita State has covered the spread 10 times in 19 AAC games.
Memphis vs. Wichita State: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Memphis has been victorious in 21, or 87.5%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
- This season, the Tigers have come away with a win 10 times in 11 chances when named as a favorite of at least -465 or better on the moneyline.
- Wichita State has won 45.5% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (5-6).
- The Shockers have played as a moneyline underdog of +350 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
- Memphis has an implied victory probability of 82.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Memphis vs. Wichita State Head-to-Head Comparison
- Memphis outscores opponents by 7.1 points per game (scoring 80 per game to rank 41st in college basketball while giving up 72.9 per outing to rank 209th in college basketball) and has a +219 scoring differential overall.
- PJ Haggerty's 21.2 points per game lead Memphis and are sixth in the nation.
- Wichita State's +44 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 73.7 points per game (187th in college basketball) while giving up 72.3 per contest (198th in college basketball).
- Xavier Bell's 14.8 points per game leads Wichita State and ranks 284th in the nation.
- The Tigers pull down 33.8 rebounds per game (73rd in college basketball) while conceding 30.7 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 3.1 boards per game.
- Dain Dainja's seven rebounds per game lead the Tigers and rank 171st in college basketball play.
- The 35 rebounds per game the Shockers accumulate rank 39th in the nation, 4.3 more than the 30.7 their opponents record.
- Quincy Ballard tops the team with nine rebounds per game (35th in college basketball).
- Memphis ranks 103rd in college basketball by averaging 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 87th in college basketball, allowing 89.8 points per 100 possessions.
- The Shockers rank 241st in college basketball averaging 93.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 138th, allowing 91.9 points per 100 possessions.
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