Memphis vs South Florida Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 7

The Memphis Tigers (25-5, 15-2 AAC) hope to build on a four-game winning streak when they host the South Florida Bulls (13-17, 6-11 AAC) on March 7, 2025 at FedExForum.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Memphis vs. South Florida Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 7, 2025
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Memphis, Tennessee
• Arena: FedExForum

Memphis vs. South Florida Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Memphis win (88.8%)

Read these betting insights and trends before you wager on Friday's Memphis-South Florida spread (Memphis -12.5) or over/under (152.5 points).

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Memphis vs. South Florida: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Memphis has covered 14 times in 30 chances against the spread this season.
• South Florida is 9-20-0 ATS this year.
• Memphis covers the spread when it is a 12.5-point favorite or more 14.3% of the time. That's more often than South Florida covers as an underdog of 12.5 or more (never covered this season).
• The Tigers have done a better job covering the spread in away games (6-6-0) than they have in home games (5-9-0).
• Against the spread, the Bulls have had better results on the road (5-6-0) than at home (4-10-0).
• Memphis' record against the spread in conference games is 6-11-0.
• South Florida has six wins against the spread in 17 AAC games this year.

Memphis vs. South Florida: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Memphis has come away with 20 wins in the 23 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Tigers have come away with a win five times in six chances when named as a favorite of at least -877 or better on the moneyline.
• South Florida has been the moneyline underdog 15 total times this season. South Florida has gone 2-13 in those games.
• The Bulls have played as a moneyline underdog of +580 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Memphis has a 89.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Memphis vs. South Florida Head-to-Head Comparison

• Memphis outscores opponents by 6.8 points per game (scoring 79.9 per game to rank 47th in college basketball while allowing 73.1 per outing to rank 213th in college basketball) and has a +203 scoring differential overall.
• PJ Haggerty's team-leading 21.3 points per game ranks sixth in the nation.
• South Florida puts up 74.8 points per game (148th in college basketball) while giving up 74.3 per outing (255th in college basketball). It has a +17 scoring differential.
• Jamille Reynolds is 554th in the nation with a team-high 12.9 points per game.
• The Tigers win the rebound battle by 2.8 boards on average. They record 33.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 85th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 30.8 per contest.
• Dain Dainja tops the Tigers with 7.1 rebounds per game (157th in college basketball action).
• The 31.3 rebounds per game the Bulls accumulate rank 213th in the country, 2.9 fewer than the 34.2 their opponents collect.
• Reynolds' 7.7 rebounds per game lead the Bulls and rank 84th in the nation.
• Memphis averages 98.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (121st in college basketball), and gives up 89.8 points per 100 possessions (91st in college basketball).
• The Bulls average 94.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (215th in college basketball), and give up 93.7 points per 100 possessions (190th in college basketball).

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