Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Oct. 28

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
• Coverage:

The Oklahoma City Thunder (4-0) are favored (-6.5) to extend a four-game winning streak when they visit the Dallas Mavericks (2-2) at 9:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at American Airlines Center. The contest airs on Dallas Mavericks. The over/under in the matchup is set at 230.5.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (79%)

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder covered 39 times in 82 matchups with a spread last season.
• The Mavericks had an ATS record of 20-21 as underdogs of 6.5 points or greater last season.
• Last season, 45 Thunder games hit the over.
• In 82 Mavericks games last season, 39 of them went over the total.
• When playing at home last season, Oklahoma City had a worse record against the spread (19-23-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (20-19-1).
• Against the spread, Dallas performed better at home (19-21-1) than on the road (16-25-0) last season.

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's numbers last season were 31.1 points, 4.3 boards and 6.6 assists per game. He also sank 55.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.6% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.7 triples.
• Chet Holmgren's numbers last season were 17.1 points, 8.9 boards and 1.7 assists per contest. He made 55.7% of his shots from the field and 36.2% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.3 triples.
• Cason Wallace put up 8.6 points, 3.1 boards and 2.6 assists. He also made 43.2% of his shots from the field and 35.1% from 3-point range, with 1.3 treys per game.
• Ajay Mitchell recorded 13.6 points, 3.3 boards and 3.6 assists. He drained 48.5% of his shots from the floor and 34.7% from 3-point range, with 1.1 treys per game.
• Isaiah Hartenstein's stats last season included 9.2 points, 9.4 boards and 3.5 assists per contest. He made 62.2% of his shots from the floor.

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg put up 21 points, 6.7 boards and 4.5 assists last year, shooting 46.8% from the field and 29.5% from beyond the arc, with 1 made 3-pointers per contest.
• Naji Marshall recorded 15.2 points last season, plus 3.3 assists and 4.7 rebounds.
• P.J. Washington posted 14.2 points last season, plus 1.8 assists and 7 boards.
• Max Christie put up 12.3 points, 3.2 boards and 2 assists, shooting 44.1% from the floor and 40.4% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 made 3-pointers per game.
• Daniel Gafford's numbers last season were 9.5 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game, shooting 65.5% from the field.

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