Maryland vs Penn State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 1

Big Ten action on Saturday will see the the No. 16 Maryland Terrapins (21-7, 11-6 Big Ten) visit the Penn State Nittany Lions (15-14, 5-13 Big Ten) at Bryce Jordan Center, tipping off at 12 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Maryland vs. Penn State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 1, 2025
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: University Park, Pennsylvania
• Arena: Bryce Jordan Center

Maryland vs. Penn State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Maryland win (57.4%)

Before making a bet on Saturday's Maryland-Penn State spread (Maryland -4.5) or total (154.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

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Maryland vs. Penn State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Maryland has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
• Penn State is 14-15-0 ATS this year.
• Maryland covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 63.2% of the time. That's more often than Penn State covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (60%).
• When playing at home, the Terrapins sport a better record against the spread (11-7-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (3-5-0).
• The Nittany Lions' winning percentage against the spread at home is .438 (7-9-0). Away, it is .556 (5-4-0).
• Maryland has nine wins against the spread in 17 conference games this season.
• Against the spread in Big Ten action, Penn State is 9-9-0 this year.

Maryland vs. Penn State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Maryland has come away with 15 wins in the 19 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Terrapins have a win-loss record of 14-1 when favored by -188 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Penn State has won 18.2% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (2-9).
• The Nittany Lions have played five times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +155 or longer, and lost each game.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Maryland has a 65.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Maryland vs. Penn State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Maryland has a +439 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.6 points per game. It is putting up 82.6 points per game to rank 17th in college basketball and is allowing 67 per outing to rank 50th in college basketball.
• Derik Queen's team-leading 15.6 points per game ranks 208th in the country.
• Penn State has a +175 scoring differential, topping opponents by 6.1 points per game. It is putting up 79.4 points per game, 53rd in college basketball, and is giving up 73.3 per contest to rank 221st in college basketball.
• Penn State's leading scorer, Adrian Baldwin Jr., ranks 367th in the nation, averaging 14 points per game.
• The Terrapins win the rebound battle by an average of 4.9 boards. They are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game (57th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.6 per contest.
• Julian Reese is 27th in college basketball play with 9.2 rebounds per game to lead the Terrapins.
• The 30.3 rebounds per game the Nittany Lions accumulate rank 288th in college basketball. Their opponents pull down 30.2.
• Yanic Konan Niederhauser tops the Nittany Lions with 6.2 rebounds per game (276th in college basketball).
• Maryland ranks 19th in college basketball with 104.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 16th in college basketball defensively with 84.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Nittany Lions average 101 points per 100 possessions on offense (58th in college basketball), and give up 93.3 points per 100 possessions (181st in college basketball).

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