Maryland vs Michigan State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 26

The Maryland Terrapins (21-6, 11-5 Big Ten) take a four-game winning streak into a home matchup with the Michigan State Spartans (22-5, 13-3 Big Ten), who have won three straight.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Maryland vs. Michigan State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, February 26, 2025
• Game time: 6:30 PM ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: College Park, Maryland
• Arena: XFINITY Center

Maryland vs. Michigan State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Maryland win (63.6%)

Before you bet on Wednesday's Maryland-Michigan State spread (Maryland -3.5) or over/under (150.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Maryland vs. Michigan State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Maryland has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• Michigan State has won 17 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 10 times.
• Michigan State covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point underdog or more 66.7% of the time. That's more often than Maryland covers as a favorite of 3.5 or more (63.2%).
• The Terrapins have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (11-6-0) than they have in road games (3-5-0).
• Against the spread, the Spartans have had better results on the road (5-2-0) than at home (8-6-0).
• Maryland has nine wins against the spread in 16 conference games this year.
• Michigan State has 11 wins against the spread in 16 Big Ten games this year.

Maryland vs. Michigan State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Maryland has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 18 games this year and has walked away with the win 15 times (83.3%) in those games.
• This season, the Terrapins have come away with a win 14 times in 15 chances when named as a favorite of at least -178 or better on the moneyline.
• Michigan State has gone 4-2 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +146 or longer, the Spartans have a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of their games).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Maryland has a 64% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Maryland vs. Michigan State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Maryland's +442 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 16.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 83.7 points per game (ninth in college basketball) while giving up 67.3 per contest (57th in college basketball).
• Maryland's leading scorer, Derik Queen, is 193rd in the country scoring 15.9 points per game.
• Michigan State is outscoring opponents by 11.8 points per game, with a +317 scoring differential overall. It puts up 79 points per game (60th in college basketball) and gives up 67.2 per outing (54th in college basketball).
• Jaden paces Michigan State, averaging 13 points per game (517th in college basketball).
• The Terrapins win the rebound battle by an average of 5.6 boards. They are collecting 34.7 rebounds per game (54th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.1 per outing.
• Julian Reese paces the Terrapins with 9.3 rebounds per game (22nd in college basketball action).
• The 36.5 rebounds per game the Spartans accumulate rank 15th in the nation, 9.1 more than the 27.4 their opponents pull down.
• Jaxon Kohler's 7.6 rebounds per game lead the Spartans and rank 92nd in the nation.
• Maryland ranks 15th in college basketball with 105.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 17th in college basketball defensively with 85.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Spartans rank 54th in college basketball with 101.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 32nd defensively with 86.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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