Marquette vs Xavier Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 5 seed Marquette Golden Eagles (22-9, 13-7 Big East) head into the Big East tournament against the No. 4 seed Xavier Musketeers (21-10, 13-7 Big East) on Thursday at Madison Square Garden, beginning at 2:30 p.m. ET.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Marquette vs. Xavier Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
- Game time: 2:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Peacock
- Location: New York City, New York
- Arena: Madison Square Garden
Marquette vs. Xavier Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marquette win (64%)
Before making a bet on Thursday's Marquette-Xavier spread (Marquette -2.5) or total (145.5 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.
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Marquette vs. Xavier: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Marquette is 14-17-0 ATS this season.
- Xavier has covered 17 times in 31 matchups with a spread this year.
- As a 2.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Marquette is 13-11 against the spread compared to the 4-4 ATS record Xavier racks up as a 2.5-point underdog.
- The Golden Eagles have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered eight times in 17 opportunities at home, and they've covered five times in 13 opportunities in away games.
- Against the spread, the Musketeers have performed better at home (10-7-0) than away (6-6-0).
- Marquette has seven wins against the spread in 20 conference games this season.
- Against the spread in Big East games, Xavier is 12-8-0 this season.
Marquette vs. Xavier: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Marquette has won in 19, or 82.6%, of the 23 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
- This year, the Golden Eagles have won 19 of 22 games when listed as at least -142 or better on the moneyline.
- Xavier has won one of the 10 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (10%).
- The Musketeers have a record of 1-6 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +118 or longer (14.3%).
- Marquette has an implied victory probability of 58.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Marquette vs. Xavier Head-to-Head Comparison
- Marquette is outscoring opponents by 9.3 points per game with a +289 scoring differential overall. It puts up 76.9 points per game (98th in college basketball) and gives up 67.6 per contest (59th in college basketball).
- Marquette's leading scorer, Kam Jones, is 47th in the nation averaging 18.9 points per game.
- Xavier puts up 77.7 points per game (83rd in college basketball) while giving up 70.3 per outing (126th in college basketball). It has a +231 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 7.4 points per game.
- Zach Freemantle is ranked 94th in the country with a team-leading 17.4 points per game.
- The Golden Eagles lose the rebound battle by an average of 1.2 boards. They are grabbing 31 rebounds per game (240th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 32.2 per contest.
- David Joplin tops the Golden Eagles with 5.4 rebounds per game (484th in college basketball play).
- The Musketeers average 30.4 rebounds per game (278th in college basketball), compared to the 29.9 of their opponents.
- Freemantle leads the Musketeers with 7.1 rebounds per game (158th in college basketball).
- Marquette averages 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (86th in college basketball), and allows 87.6 points per 100 possessions (49th in college basketball).
- The Musketeers rank 45th in college basketball averaging 101.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 146th, allowing 92.2 points per 100 possessions.
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