Marquette vs Xavier Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big East Tournament

The No. 5 seed Marquette Golden Eagles (22-9, 13-7 Big East) square off in the Big East tournament against the No. 4 seed Xavier Musketeers (21-10, 13-7 Big East) on Thursday at Madison Square Garden, beginning at 2:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Marquette vs. Xavier Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 2:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: New York City, New York
• Arena: Madison Square Garden

Marquette vs. Xavier Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marquette win (63.9%)

Before you bet on Thursday's Marquette-Xavier spread (Marquette -2.5) or total (144.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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Marquette vs. Xavier: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Marquette has won 14 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• Xavier has covered 17 times in 31 matchups with a spread this season.
• Marquette (13-11) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (54.2%) than Xavier (4-4) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (50%).
• The Golden Eagles have a better record against the spread when playing at home (8-9-0) than they do in away games (5-8-0).
• Against the spread, the Musketeers have performed better at home (10-7-0) than on the road (6-6-0).
• Marquette has seven wins against the spread in 20 conference games this season.
• Xavier has 12 wins against the spread in 20 Big East games this year.

Marquette vs. Xavier: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Marquette has been victorious in 19, or 82.6%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Golden Eagles have a win-loss record of 19-3 when favored by -132 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• Xavier has won one of the 10 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (10%).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Musketeers have a record of 1-7 (12.5%).
• Marquette has an implied victory probability of 56.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Marquette vs. Xavier Head-to-Head Comparison

• Marquette has a +289 scoring differential, topping opponents by 9.3 points per game. It is putting up 76.9 points per game to rank 98th in college basketball and is giving up 67.6 per contest to rank 59th in college basketball.
• Kam Jones is 47th in the nation with a team-leading 18.9 points per game.
• Xavier puts up 77.7 points per game (83rd in college basketball) while allowing 70.3 per contest (126th in college basketball). It has a +231 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 7.4 points per game.
• Zach Freemantle is ranked 94th in the nation with a team-high 17.4 points per game.
• The Golden Eagles average 31.0 rebounds per game (240th in college basketball) while allowing 32.2 per contest to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 1.2 boards per game.
• David Joplin tops the team with 5.4 rebounds per game (484th in college basketball play).
• The Musketeers are 278th in the nation at 30.4 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 29.9 their opponents average.
• Freemantle is 158th in the country with 7.1 rebounds per game, leading the Musketeers.
• Marquette averages 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (86th in college basketball), and allows 87.6 points per 100 possessions (49th in college basketball).
• The Musketeers' 101.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 45th in college basketball, and the 92.2 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 146th in college basketball.

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