Marlins vs Guardians Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 11

Odds updated as of 2:12 a.m.

The MLB's Saturday slate includes the Miami Marlins facing the Cleveland Guardians.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Marlins vs Guardians Game Info

• Miami Marlins (52-43) vs. Cleveland Guardians (49-46)
• Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
• Time: 4:10 p.m. ET
• Venue: loanDepot park -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: Marlins.TV and CleGuardians.TV

Marlins vs Guardians Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: MIA: (-142) | CLE: (+120)
• Spread: MIA: -1.5 (+150) | CLE: +1.5 (-182)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (+100)

Marlins vs Guardians Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Eury Pérez (Marlins) - 5-6, 3.84 ERA vs Tanner Bibee (Guardians) - 2-9, 4.06 ERA

The Marlins will call on Eury Perez (5-6) versus the Guardians and Tanner Bibee (2-9). Pérez's team is 8-7-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Perez's team is 5-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Guardians have a 3-14-0 ATS record in Bibee's 17 starts that had a set spread. The Guardians have a 2-5 record in Bibee's seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Marlins vs Guardians Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Marlins win (63.1%)

Marlins vs Guardians Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Marlins vs. Guardians reveal Miami as the favorite (-142) and Cleveland as the underdog (+120) on the road.

Marlins vs Guardians Spread

• The Guardians are at the Marlins, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Guardians are +150 to cover the spread, and the Marlins are -182.

Marlins vs Guardians Over/Under

• The Marlins-Guardians contest on July 11 has been given an over/under of 7.5 runs. The over is set at -122 and the under at +100.

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Marlins vs Guardians Betting Trends

• The Marlins have won in 29, or 69%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
• This season Miami has been victorious nine times in 12 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 on the moneyline.
• The Marlins and their opponents have hit the over in 50 of their 94 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Marlins are 52-42-0 against the spread in their 94 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Guardians have been the moneyline underdog 41 total times this season. They've finished 21-20 in those games.
• Cleveland is 10-7 (winning 58.8% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
• The Guardians have combined with opponents to go over the total 43 times this season for a 43-47-0 record against the over/under.
• The Guardians are 44-46-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Player Leaders

• Otto Lopez has 127 hits to go with a slugging percentage of .516, both of which are best among Miami hitters this season. He has a .341 batting average and an on-base percentage of .374.
• Among the qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average ranks first, his on-base percentage ranks 23rd, and he is 15th in slugging.
• Xavier Edwards has 104 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .385. He's batting .301 and slugging .426.
• His batting average ranks 10th among qualified players, his on-base percentage 12th, and his slugging percentage 76th.
• Edwards takes a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .343 with a double, a triple, eight walks and seven RBIs.
• Liam Hicks has 83 hits this season and has a slash line of .285/.357/.457.
• Jakob Marsee has five home runs, 25 RBI and a batting average of .200 this season.
• Marsee has safely hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with two walks and three RBIs.

Guardians Player Leaders

• Brayan Rocchio has racked up a team-best .398 slugging percentage. He's batting .272 with an on-base percentage of .341.
• Including all qualified hitters in the majors, he is 44th in batting average, 62nd in on-base percentage and 99th in slugging percentage.
• Rocchio brings a three-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a double, a home run and five RBIs.
• Chase DeLauter's 82 hits and .347 OBP both pace his team. He has a batting average of .282 while slugging .447.
• He is currently 32nd in batting average, 48th in on-base percentage and 62nd in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .221 with nine doubles, two triples, a home run and 46 walks.
• Travis Bazzana has 14 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 31 walks while batting .242.

Marlins vs Guardians Head to Head

• 7/10/2026: 3-2 CLE (Favorite: Marlins, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 8/14/2025: 9-4 CLE (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 8/13/2025: 13-4 MIA (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 8/12/2025: 4-3 CLE (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
• 6/9/2024: 6-3 CLE (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -122, Underdog Moneyline: +104)
• 6/8/2024: 8-0 CLE (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 6/7/2024: 3-2 MIA (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 4/23/2023: 7-4 CLE (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
• 4/22/2023: 3-2 MIA (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +116)

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