Kentucky vs Troy Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 14 Troy Trojans (23-10) will be trying to move on to the second round of the NCAA Tournament when they play the No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (22-11) on Friday. This 3-14 matchup in the Midwest Region bracket tips off at 7:20 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Kentucky vs. Troy Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 21, 2025
• Game time: 7:20 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• Arena: Fiserv Forum

Read the betting insights and trends below before making a wager on Friday's Kentucky-Troy spread (Kentucky -11.5) or total (151.5 points).

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Kentucky vs. Troy: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Kentucky has compiled a 16-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Troy has compiled a 20-11-0 ATS record so far this season.
• As an 11.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Troy is 1-2 against the spread compared to the 6-4 ATS record Kentucky puts up as an 11.5-point favorite.
• When playing at home, the Wildcats sport a better record against the spread (10-8-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (4-6-0).
• The Trojans' winning percentage against the spread at home is .538 (7-6-0). On the road, it is .667 (10-5-0).

Kentucky vs. Troy: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Kentucky has been victorious in 15, or 71.4%, of the 21 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Wildcats have been a -847 moneyline favorite on seven occasions this season and won every game.
• Troy is 2-5 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 28.6% of those games).
• The Trojans have played three times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +590 or longer, and fell in each game.
• Kentucky has an implied victory probability of 89.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Kentucky vs. Troy Head-to-Head Comparison

• Kentucky outscores opponents by 7.4 points per game (scoring 85.3 per game to rank fourth in college basketball while allowing 77.9 per outing to rank 323rd in college basketball) and has a +245 scoring differential overall.
• Kentucky's leading scorer, Otega Oweh, is 175th in the country putting up 16.2 points per game.
• Troy outscores opponents by 8.5 points per game (posting 73.9 points per game, 174th in college basketball, and giving up 65.4 per outing, 25th in college basketball) and has a +279 scoring differential.
• Tayton Conerway is 355th in the nation with a team-high 14.2 points per game.
• The Wildcats average 34.5 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) while allowing 31.7 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.8 boards per game.
• Amari Williams leads the Wildcats with 8.5 rebounds per game (44th in college basketball play).
• The Trojans win the rebound battle by 5.8 boards on average. They collect 34.9 rebounds per game, 37th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.1.
• Thomas Dowd paces the Trojans with 6.8 rebounds per game (193rd in college basketball).
• Kentucky scores 105.5 points per 100 possessions (12th in college basketball), while allowing 96.3 points per 100 possessions (259th in college basketball).
• The Trojans' 94.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 202nd in college basketball, and the 83.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank seventh in college basketball.

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