Kansas vs Arkansas Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

The No. 7 seed Kansas Jayhawks (21-12) and the No. 10 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (20-13) will meet on Thursday at 7:10 p.m. ET in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. The contest airs on CBS.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Kansas vs. Arkansas Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Thursday, March 20, 2025
- Game time: 7:10 p.m. ET
- TV channel: CBS
- Location: Providence, Rhode Island
- Arena: Amica Mutual Pavilion
Kansas vs. Arkansas Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Kansas win (60%)
Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before placing a bet on Thursday's Kansas-Arkansas spread (Kansas -4.5) or over/under (146.5 points).
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Kansas vs. Arkansas: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Kansas has put together a 15-17-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Arkansas has put together a 16-17-0 ATS record so far this season.
- When the spread is set as 4.5 or more this season, Kansas (11-12) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (47.8%) than Arkansas (6-3) does as the underdog (66.7%).
- When playing at home, the Jayhawks own a better record against the spread (8-9-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (5-7-0).
- Against the spread, the Razorbacks have been better at home (9-8-0) than away (5-5-0).
Kansas vs. Arkansas: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Kansas has won in 20, or 76.9%, of the 26 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
- This season, the Jayhawks have been victorious 16 times in 19 chances when named as a favorite of at least -220 or better on the moneyline.
- Arkansas has been the underdog on the moneyline 15 total times this season. Arkansas has finished 5-10 in those games.
- When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +184 or longer, the Razorbacks have a record of 3-4 (42.9%).
- Kansas has an implied victory probability of 68.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Kansas vs. Arkansas Head-to-Head Comparison
- Kansas outscores opponents by 6.9 points per game (scoring 76.2 per game to rank 112th in college basketball while giving up 69.3 per outing to rank 94th in college basketball) and has a +229 scoring differential overall.
- Kansas' leading scorer, Hunter Dickinson, is 86th in the nation putting up 17.6 points per game.
- Arkansas outscores opponents by 5.4 points per game (posting 76.6 points per game, 103rd in college basketball, and conceding 71.2 per outing, 153rd in college basketball) and has a +180 scoring differential.
- Arkansas' leading scorer, Adou Thiero, is 211th in college basketball, averaging 15.7 points per game.
- The Jayhawks rank 41st in the country at 34.8 rebounds per game. That's 3.0 more than the 31.8 their opponents average.
- Dickinson paces the Jayhawks with 10 rebounds per game (11th in college basketball play).
- The Razorbacks record 32.1 rebounds per game (173rd in college basketball), compared to the 31.5 of their opponents.
- Thiero paces the team with six rebounds per game (322nd in college basketball).
- Kansas ranks 150th in college basketball with 96.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 50th in college basketball defensively with 87.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- The Razorbacks rank 132nd in college basketball averaging 97.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 99th, allowing 90.5 points per 100 possessions.
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