Warriors vs. Timberwolves Western Semifinals Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for May 12

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Game Info

• Date: Monday, May 12, 2025
• Time: 10 p.m. ET
• Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
• Coverage: ESPN

The Golden State Warriors are 5.5-point underdogs in Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Minnesota Timberwolves at Chase Center on Monday, tipping off at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Timberwolves are ahead 2-1 in the series. The matchup has an over/under of 200.5.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Warriors win (56.4%)

Warriors vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

• The Timberwolves have registered a 39-42-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Warriors have 41 wins against the spread in 82 games this season.
• Timberwolves games have gone over the total 45 times this season.
• Warriors games this year have gone over the total in 41 of 82 opportunities (50%).
• Minnesota owns a worse record against the spread in home games (17-23-1) than it does in away games (22-19-0).
• When it comes to point totals, the Timberwolves hit the over more consistently at home, as they've eclipsed the total 25 times in 41 opportunities this season (61%). On the road, they have hit the over 20 times in 41 opportunities (48.8%).
• Golden State's winning percentage against the spread at home is .439 (18-22-1). Away, it is .561 (23-16-2).
• In terms of the over/under, Warriors games have finished over 20 of 41 times at home (48.8%), and 21 of 41 on the road (51.2%).

Timberwolves Leaders

• Anthony Edwards is averaging 27.6 points, 5.7 boards and 4.5 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Julius Randle is averaging 18.7 points, 7.1 rebounds and 4.7 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Rudy Gobert averages 12 points, 10.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists, shooting 66.9% from the floor (third in NBA).
• Naz Reid is averaging 14.2 points, 6 rebounds and 2.3 assists.
• Jaden McDaniels is averaging 12.2 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2 assists.

Warriors Leaders

• Jimmy Butler averages 17.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 5.4 assists. He is also draining 50.4% of his shots from the field.
• Draymond Green's numbers on the season are 9 points, 6.1 boards and 5.6 assists per game. He is draining 42.4% of his shots from the floor and 32.5% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 triples.
• The Warriors receive 11.7 points per game from Brandin Podziemski, plus 5.1 rebounds and 3.4 assists.
• The Warriors are receiving 11.1 points, 3.2 boards and 1.6 assists per game from Buddy Hield.
• The Warriors get 9.8 points per game from Moses Moody, plus 2.6 rebounds and 1.3 assists.

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