Fox Sports confirm: "Erling Haaland has scored 55 goals in 50 appearances for Norway, and has scored in 32 of those matches." CBS expert Jon Eimer, on a 12-5-2 World Cup run, backs a brace: "Look at Haaland to score a brace in this one — Iraq will just be holding on for dear life."

Sports Interaction: "Haaland scored 16 goals in World Cup qualifying, twice the tally of any other European player." In a Norway side CBS describes as "coached to attack no matter what — doesn't care if they're up 3-0," Haaland is the penalty taker, the set-piece target, and the player every build-up funnels through. The first goal of this match is most likely to come from a Norway attack — and Haaland is the most likely Norway scorer. At ~+175, this is the clearest first scorer play on Tuesday's entire slate.

Goal.com: "At close to even-money, backing the towering striker to also get on the scoresheet rounds off our picks nicely." Fox Sports: "56 La Liga goals in the last three seasons — trails only Robert Lewandowski in that span." He starts in the same front three as Haaland.

Goal.com add the tactical case: "Sørloth will attack the back post mercilessly at set plays — a known weakness of the Iraqis, who lack the physicality to handle aerial challenges." In a match Norway are expected to dominate, the first goal could come from a corner, a cross or a set piece — all of which play directly to Sørloth's strengths. At +475 first scorer for a confirmed starter with only Lewandowski ahead of him for La Liga goals over the past three seasons, this is the outstanding value pick tonight.

Strand Larsen scored twice in Norway's most recent game — the warm-up win over Sweden — yet starts on the bench tonight behind Sørloth. CBS confirm Norway's philosophy: "Norway doesn't care if they're up 3-0 — this is a team coached to attack no matter what." That means Strand Larsen is guaranteed meaningful minutes.

In a match where Norway are projected to score 3+ goals, the probability that one of those goals comes after the 60th minute — when Larsen is on and fresh against a tired Iraq defence — is meaningful. At +650 first scorer for Norway's bench striker who just scored twice in his last outing, this is the best sleeper pick on the entire Tuesday World Cup slate.

🔮 Prediction: Norway 4-0 Iraq — Haaland opens the scoring

First Goal: Haaland ~+175 🇳🇴

Who is most likely to score first in Iraq vs Norway?

Haaland at ~+175 is the unanimous pick. Fox Sports: "scored in 32 of 50 Norway appearances." CBS Eimer backs a brace. Sports Interaction: "16 WC qualifying goals — twice any other European player." For value, Sørloth at +475 is Goal.com's explicit pick — confirmed starter, set-piece threat, 56 La Liga goals second only to Lewandowski in three seasons.

Why is Strand Larsen worth a first scorer bet as a substitute?

Strand Larsen scored twice in Norway's warm-up win over Sweden yet starts on the bench. CBS confirm Norway's policy: "Norway doesn't care if they're up 3-0 — this team is coached to attack no matter what." That guarantees him meaningful minutes. In a match projected to produce 3+ Norway goals, any goals scored after the 60th minute give Larsen genuine first scorer potential. At +650 first scorer — while also priced +130 anytime — the value is exceptional.

What are the Iraq vs Norway odds on FanDuel?

Norway are -498 favorites, Iraq at +1283, draw at +600. Over/under is 2.5. CBS expert Eimer leans Over 2.5. Oddschecker give Norway a 71.57% win probability. Norway went 8-0-0 in qualifying scoring 37 goals, including a 4-1 win at the San Siro vs Italy.

What time and where is Iraq vs Norway tonight?

6:00 PM ET at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Airs on FOX. Group I alongside France and Senegal. Iraq's first World Cup since 1986. Erling Haaland's first World Cup appearance of his career.