Illinois vs UConn College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Semifinals

The Illinois Fighting Illini (28-8) will attempt to build on a four-game winning streak when they visit the UConn Huskies (33-5) on April 4, 2026. The Huskies have also won four games in a row.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. UConn Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, April 4, 2026
• Game time: 6:09 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• Arena: Lucas Oil Stadium

Illinois vs. UConn Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: UConn win (55.1%)

Before making an informed wager on Illinois-UConn contest (in which Illinois is a 1.5-point favorite and the total is set at 139.5 points), keep reading for some betting trends and insights for Saturday's game.

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Illinois vs. UConn: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois has put together a 22-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• UConn has put together a 15-23-0 record against the spread this year.
• Illinois covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point favorite or more 63.3% of the time. That's less often than UConn covers as an underdog of 1.5 or more (100%).
• The Fighting Illini have done a better job covering the spread in away games (6-4-0) than they have at home (10-7-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Huskies have a lower winning percentage at home (.235, 4-13-0 record) than away (.455, 5-6-0).

Illinois vs. UConn: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois has come away with 20 wins in the 25 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Fighting Illini have come away with a win 19 times in 24 chances when named as a favorite of at least -137 or shorter on the moneyline.
• UConn has been the moneyline underdog just one other time so far this season, a game it won.
• The Huskies have played as a moneyline underdog of +114 or longer in only one game this season, which they won.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Illinois has a 57.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Illinois vs. UConn Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last season, Illinois was ninth-best in the nation offensively (83.6 points scored per game) and ranked 263rd on defense (74.8 points conceded).
• On the boards, Illinois was best in the country in rebounds (39.7 per game) last year. It was 104th in rebounds conceded (30.1 per game).
• Last season Illinois was ranked 83rd in the nation in assists with 14.9 per game.
• Last season, Illinois was 215th in college basketball in turnovers committed (11.4 per game) and second-worst in turnovers forced (8.5).
• With 77.0 points per game on offense, UConn ranked 90th in the nation last season. At the other end of the court, it allowed 68.0 points per contest, which ranked 56th in college basketball.
• UConn averaged 33.1 rebounds per game last year (111th-ranked in college basketball), and it gave up just 25.9 rebounds per game (second-best).
• UConn racked up assists last season, ranking eighth-best in the country with 17.3 per game.
• UConn ranked 71st in the nation with 10.0 turnovers per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 317th with 9.8 forced turnovers per game.

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