Guardians vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALCS Game 3 on Oct. 15

Odds updated as of 12:11 a.m.

The Cleveland Guardians versus the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 3 of the ALCS is on the MLB schedule for Thursday.

We've got you covered, in terms of the most important info about this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Guardians vs Rays Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians (85-77) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (98-64)
• Date: Thursday, October 15, 2026
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Progressive Field -- Cleveland, Ohio
• Coverage: TBS, truTV, and HBO Max

Guardians vs Rays Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: CLE: (-130) | TB: (+110)
• Spread: CLE: -1.5 (+172) | TB: +1.5 (-205)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-118) | Under: (-104)

Guardians vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Gavin Williams (Guardians) - 14-8, 3.76 ERA vs Griffin Jax (Rays) - 8-10, 3.28 ERA

The probable starters are Gavin Williams (14-8, 3.76 ERA) for the Guardians and Griffin Jax (8-10, 3.28 ERA) for the Rays. When Williams starts, his team is 15-16-0 against the spread this season. Williams' team has been victorious in 57.7% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 15-11. The Rays have gone 11-11-0 ATS in Jax's 22 starts that had a set spread. The Rays have a 3-3 record in Jax's six starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.

Guardians vs Rays Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Guardians win (50.2%)

Guardians vs Rays Moneyline

• The moneyline numbers for Guardians vs. Rays reveal Cleveland as the favorite (-130) and Tampa Bay as the underdog (+110) on the road.

Guardians vs Rays Spread

• The Guardians are hosting the Rays and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Guardians are +172 to cover the runline, with the Rays being -205.

Guardians vs Rays Over/Under

• Guardians versus Rays on Oct. 15 has an over/under of 6.5 runs, with the odds on the over -118 and the under set at -104.

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Guardians vs Rays Betting Trends

• The Guardians have been victorious in 50, or 53.2%, of the 94 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Cleveland has a record of 32-25 when favored by -130 or more this year.
• The Guardians and their opponents have gone over in 78 of their 159 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Guardians have posted a record of 77-82-0 against the spread this season.
• The Rays have won 53.8% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (28-24).
• Tampa Bay is 11-11 (winning 50% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +110 or longer.
• The Rays have played in 164 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-85-2).
• The Rays have an 87-77-0 record against the spread this season (covering 53% of the time).

Guardians Player Leaders

• Chase DeLauter leads Cleveland with 142 hits, batting .287 this season with 49 extra-base hits. He has an on-base percentage of .363 and a slugging percentage of .457.
• Among qualified hitters in baseball, he is 16th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage, and 43rd in slugging.
• DeLauter hopes to build on a six-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last 10 games he is batting .289 with three doubles, two home runs, eight walks and six RBIs.
• Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with an OPS of .731. He has a slash line of .282/.382/.349 this season.
• His batting average is 21st among qualified players, his on-base percentage seventh, and his slugging percentage 131st.
• Kwan takes a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 games he is batting .256 with a triple, eight walks and two RBIs.
• Jose Ramirez has 111 hits this season and has a slash line of .235/.320/.368.
• Ramirez enters this matchup with five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .429 with a double, a triple, two home runs, two walks and eight RBIs.
• Brayan Rocchio has 15 home runs, 73 RBI and a batting average of .253 this season.

Rays Player Leaders

• Junior Caminero has 170 hits, a team-best for the Rays. He's batting .276 and slugging .524 with an on-base percentage of .360.
• Including all the qualified hitters in the big leagues, his batting average ranks 33rd, his on-base percentage is 30th, and he is sixth in slugging.
• Caminero takes a four-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
• Yandy Diaz's .446 slugging percentage paces his team. He has a batting average of .293 with an on-base percentage of .359.
• He is currently 10th in batting average, 33rd in on-base percentage and 50th in slugging percentage among all qualifying batters.
• Liam Hicks has an on-base percentage of .367, a team-high for the Rays.
• Chandler Simpson is batting .306 with 16 doubles, six triples and 26 walks.

Guardians vs Rays Head to Head

• 10/13/2026: 3-1 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -128, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
• 10/12/2026: 7-3 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 6.5, Favorite Moneyline: -166, Underdog Moneyline: +148)
• 7/26/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/25/2026: 3-0 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/24/2026: 11-3 TB (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 4/28/2026: 1-0 TB (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 4/27/2026: 3-2 TB (Favorite: Guardians, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/7/2025: 2-1 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
• 9/6/2025: 3-2 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/5/2025: 7-1 CLE (Favorite: Rays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)

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