Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 5

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Wednesday, March 5, 2025
• Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: FedExForum -- Memphis, Tennessee
• Coverage: ESPN, FDSSE, and FDSOK

The Memphis Grizzlies (38-23) are underdogs (by 8 points) to stop a three-game home losing streak when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (50-11) on Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The over/under is 250.5 in the matchup.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Grizzlies win (53.8%)

Grizzlies vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have covered the spread 37 times over 61 games with a set spread.
• The Grizzlies are 35-23-3 against the spread this year.
• Thunder games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under 34 times this season.
• Grizzlies games this year have gone over the total in 39 of 61 opportunities (63.9%).
• Oklahoma City sports a better record against the spread at home (20-10-1) than it does in away games (17-13-0).
• When it comes to point totals, the Thunder hit the over more often at home, as they've gone over the total 19 times in 31 opportunities this season (61.3%). In away games, they have hit the over 15 times in 30 opportunities (50%).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, Memphis has a lower winning percentage at home (.548, 17-13-1 record) than on the road (.600, 18-10-2).
• Grizzlies games have finished above the over/under 54.8% of the time at home (17 of 31), and 73.3% of the time away (22 of 30).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 32.6 points, 5.2 boards and 6.2 assists.
• Jalen Williams is averaging 21.4 points, 5.5 boards and 5.2 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.7 steals (seventh in league) and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 10.9 points, 4.1 assists and 11.2 boards.
• Aaron Wiggins averages 11.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists, shooting 49.9% from the field and 39.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 made treys per contest.
• Luguentz Dort's numbers on the season are 9.8 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per contest, shooting 42.6% from the floor and 39.6% from downtown, with an average of 2.2 made treys.

Grizzlies Leaders

• Desmond Bane's numbers on the season are 18.6 points, 6 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game. He is also sinking 49% of his shots from the field and 37.8% from beyond the arc, with an average of 2.2 triples.
• Per game, Santi Aldama gets the Grizzlies 12.8 points, 6.7 boards and 2.8 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocks.
• Ja Morant averages 20.9 points, 4.1 rebounds and 7.4 assists. He is sinking 43.3% of his shots from the field and 28.7% from 3-point range, with 1.5 treys per game.
• Per game, Scotty Pippen Jr. gives the Grizzlies 9 points, 3.2 boards and 4.2 assists, plus 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocks.
• Jaylen Wells averages 11.4 points, 3.2 boards and 1.7 assists. He is draining 45% of his shots from the field and 38% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 treys per game.

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