Florida vs Texas Tech Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Elite Eight

An Elite Eight matchup features the No. 1 seed Florida Gators (33-4) meeting the the No. 3 seed Texas Tech Red Raiders (28-8) on Saturday at Chase Center. This NCAA Tournament matchup starts at 6:09 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Texas Tech Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 29, 2025
• Game time: 6:09 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TBS
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Arena: Chase Center

Florida vs. Texas Tech Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (62%)

Check out the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Saturday's Florida-Texas Tech spread (Florida -7.5) or over/under (157.5 points).

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Florida vs. Texas Tech: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has won 26 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Texas Tech has covered 18 times in 36 games with a spread this season.
• Florida (17-8) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 7.5 points or more this season (68%) than Texas Tech (1-0) does as a 7.5+-point underdog (100%).
• The Gators sport a better record against the spread at home (11-5-0) than they do on the road (6-4-0).
• The Red Raiders' winning percentage against the spread at home is .556 (10-8-0). On the road, it is .700 (7-3-0).

Florida vs. Texas Tech: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has been the moneyline favorite in 30 games this season and has come away with the win 28 times (93.3%) in those contests.
• This season, the Gators have come away with a win 22 times in 23 chances when named as a favorite of at least -300 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Texas Tech has gone 3-2 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 60% of those games).
• The Red Raiders have played as a moneyline underdog of +240 or longer in only one game this season, which they won.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Florida has a 75% chance of pulling out a win.

Florida vs. Texas Tech Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida has a +594 scoring differential, topping opponents by 16.1 points per game. It is putting up 85.5 points per game to rank third in college basketball and is allowing 69.4 per outing to rank 89th in college basketball.
• Florida's leading scorer, Walter Clayton Jr., is 82nd in the country scoring 17.7 points per game.
• Texas Tech is outscoring opponents by 12.9 points per game, with a +465 scoring differential overall. It puts up 80.9 points per game (28th in college basketball) and allows 68 per outing (58th in college basketball).
• JT Toppin's 18.3 points per game leads Texas Tech and ranks 64th in the nation.
• The 39.1 rebounds per game the Gators average rank second in college basketball, and are 8.9 more than the 30.2 their opponents collect per outing.
• Alex Condon paces the team with 7.7 rebounds per game (80th in college basketball action).
• The Red Raiders win the rebound battle by an average of 3.9 boards. They are pulling down 33.6 rebounds per game (76th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 29.7.
• Toppin's 9.3 rebounds per game lead the Red Raiders and rank 19th in the country.
• Florida ranks 12th in college basketball with 105.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 14th in college basketball defensively with 85.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Red Raiders rank 11th in college basketball with 105.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 63rd defensively with 88.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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