Florida vs Tennessee Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament Championship

The SEC champion will be crowned Sunday as the No. 2 seed Florida Gators (29-4, 14-4 SEC) play the No. 4 Tennessee Volunteers (27-6, 12-6 SEC) at 1 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Tennessee Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 16, 2025
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Florida vs. Tennessee Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (59.2%)

Before you wager on Sunday's Florida-Tennessee spread (Florida -5.5) or total (143.5 points), check out the betting insights and trends below.

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Florida vs. Tennessee: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has covered 24 times in 33 matchups with a spread this season.
• Tennessee is 18-15-0 ATS this year.
• When the spread is set as 5.5 or more this season, Florida (17-7) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (70.8%) than Tennessee (1-0) does as the underdog (100%).
• Against the spread, the Gators have played better at home, covering 11 times in 16 home games, and six times in 10 road games.
• The Volunteers have been better against the spread at home (9-8-0) than on the road (5-6-0) this season.
• Against the spread, in conference games, Florida is 14-6-0 this year.
• Against the spread in SEC action, Tennessee is 9-11-0 this year.

Florida vs. Tennessee: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has been victorious in 24, or 92.3%, of the 26 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Gators have a mark of 20-2 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -215 or better on the moneyline.
• Tennessee has been the underdog on the moneyline five total times this season. Tennessee has gone 3-2 in those games.
• The Volunteers have played as a moneyline underdog of +176 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• Florida has an implied victory probability of 68.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Florida vs. Tennessee Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida has a +541 scoring differential, topping opponents by 16.4 points per game. It is putting up 85.4 points per game to rank third in college basketball and is allowing 69 per outing to rank 87th in college basketball.
• Walter Clayton Jr. ranks 96th in college basketball with a team-leading 17.4 points per game.
• Tennessee is outscoring opponents by 12.4 points per game, with a +407 scoring differential overall. It puts up 74.7 points per game (149th in college basketball) and gives up 62.3 per outing (eighth in college basketball).
• Chaz Lanier paces Tennessee, averaging 17.9 points per game (77th in college basketball).
• The Gators are third in college basketball at 39.3 rebounds per game. That's 8.5 more than the 30.8 their opponents average.
• Alex Condon paces the Gators with 7.9 rebounds per game (67th in college basketball play).
• The 33.8 rebounds per game the Volunteers accumulate rank 72nd in the country, 6.5 more than the 27.3 their opponents collect.
• Igor Milicic Jr. paces the Volunteers with 7.1 rebounds per game (159th in college basketball).
• Florida ranks 19th in college basketball with 104.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 11th in college basketball defensively with 84.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Volunteers score 100.6 points per 100 possessions (68th in college basketball), while conceding 84 points per 100 possessions (eighth in college basketball).

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