Florida vs Norfolk State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament First Round

A first-round NCAA Tournament matchup will see the No. 1-seed Florida Gators (30-4) play against the No. 16 seed Norfolk State Spartans (24-10) on Friday at Lenovo Center. The matchup tips off at 6:50 p.m. ET, on TNT.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Norfolk State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 21, 2025
• Game time: 6:50 p.m. ET
• TV channel: TNT
• Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
• Arena: Lenovo Center

Florida vs. Norfolk State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (86.9%)

Before you wager on Friday's Florida-Norfolk State spread (Florida -28.5) or total (153.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Florida vs. Norfolk State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has won 25 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover nine times.
• Norfolk State has compiled a 17-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• When the spread is set as 28.5 or more this season, Florida (1-1) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (50%) than Norfolk State (1-0) does as the underdog (100%).
• The Gators sport a better record against the spread when playing at home (11-5-0) than they do on the road (6-4-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Spartans have a lower winning percentage at home (.556, 5-4-0 record) than on the road (.647, 11-6-0).

Florida vs. Norfolk State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has won in 25, or 92.6%, of the 27 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Gators have been a -10000 moneyline favorite on three occasions this season and won every game.
• Norfolk State has been the underdog on the moneyline nine total times this season. Norfolk State has finished 3-6 in those games.
• The Spartans have not yet played a game with moneyline odds of +3000 or longer.
• Florida has an implied victory probability of 99% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Florida vs. Norfolk State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida is outscoring opponents by 16.2 points per game with a +550 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.4 points per game (third in college basketball) and gives up 69.2 per outing (89th in college basketball).
• Florida's leading scorer, Walter Clayton Jr., is 92nd in college basketball scoring 17.5 points per game.
• Norfolk State outscores opponents by 8.3 points per game (posting 77.3 points per game, 84th in college basketball, and allowing 69 per contest, 86th in college basketball) and has a +282 scoring differential.
• Brian Moore Jr. is ranked 63rd in the nation with a team-leading 18.4 points per game.
• The 39.1 rebounds per game the Gators average rank third in the country, and are 8.5 more than the 30.6 their opponents record per outing.
• Alex Condon averages 7.9 rebounds per game (ranking 68th in college basketball) to lead the Gators.
• The Spartans record 31.1 rebounds per game (230th in college basketball) while allowing 29.7 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.4 boards per game.
• Jalen Myers' 5.4 rebounds per game lead the Spartans and rank 481st in the country.
• Florida's 105 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 16th in college basketball, and the 85.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 15th in college basketball.
• The Spartans rank 79th in college basketball averaging 100 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 73rd, allowing 89.3 points per 100 possessions.

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