Florida vs Mississippi State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 11

SEC play features the No. 22 Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-6, 5-5 SEC) at home against the No. 3 Florida Gators (20-3, 7-3 SEC) on Tuesday, February 11, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Mississippi State vs. Florida Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
• Game time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Starkville, Mississippi
• Arena: Humphrey Coliseum

Here's a look at some betting trends for Mississippi State (-2.5) versus Florida on Tuesday. The total is set at 153.5 points for this game.

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Mississippi State vs. Florida: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Mississippi State has put together a 10-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• Florida has compiled a 15-8-0 record against the spread this year.
• When the spread is set as 2.5 or more this season, Mississippi State (7-10) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (41.2%) than Florida (1-2) does as the underdog (33.3%).
• The Bulldogs have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered four times in 11 games at home, and they've covered four times in seven games when playing on the road.
• The Gators' winning percentage against the spread at home is .583 (7-5-0). On the road, it is .500 (3-3-0).
• Mississippi State has covered the spread three times in 10 conference games.
• Florida has five wins against the spread in 10 SEC games this season.

Mississippi State vs. Florida: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Mississippi State has come away with 15 wins in the 19 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Bulldogs have a mark of 13-3 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by -137 or better on the moneyline.
• Florida has been the underdog on the moneyline three total times this season. Florida has finished 1-2 in those games.
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +114 or longer, the Gators have a 1-2 record (winning just 33.3% of their games).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi State has a 57.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mississippi State vs. Florida Head-to-Head Comparison

• Mississippi State has a +193 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.4 points per game. It is putting up 79.7 points per game to rank 56th in college basketball and is allowing 71.3 per contest to rank 173rd in college basketball.
• Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State, averaging 17.5 points per game (93rd in the nation).
• Florida outscores opponents by 17.3 points per game (posting 83.7 points per game, 13th in college basketball, and giving up 66.4 per contest, 44th in college basketball) and has a +397 scoring differential.
• Walter Clayton Jr.'s team-leading 17.5 points per game rank him 93rd in the nation.
• The Bulldogs are 33rd in the nation at 35.5 rebounds per game. That's 3.3 more than the 32.2 their opponents average.
• KeShawn Murphy is 130th in college basketball action with 7.3 rebounds per game to lead the Bulldogs.
• The Gators win the rebound battle by 9.8 boards on average. They collect 40.5 rebounds per game, second in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 30.7.
• Alex Condon is 66th in college basketball with 8.1 rebounds per game, leading the Gators.
• Mississippi State ranks 75th in college basketball by averaging 100.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 116th in college basketball, allowing 89.9 points per 100 possessions.
• The Gators rank 42nd in college basketball averaging 102.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are sixth, allowing 81.4 points per 100 possessions.

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