Fantasy Football Draft Values: 3 Players Going Too Late in 2026 Drafts

Fantasy Football Values at a Glance

• Michael Wilson, WR, Cardinals
• Jared Goff, QB, Lions
• Chris Rodriguez Jr., RB, Jaguars

Fantasy football drafts aren't won by simply selecting the biggest names. Finding players who can deliver more production than their draft position suggests is one of the best ways to build a deep, balanced roster with league-winning upside.

These fantasy football value picks stand out because their current market doesn't fully reflect their potential. Whether it's a favorable change in role, an improved offensive situation or a player poised for a statistical rebound, these are the types of selections who can provide a significant return on investment in 2026.

All ADP references come from FantasyPros' half-PPR ADP, and ADP may change after this article is published.

Fantasy Football Value Picks to Target in 2026

Michael Wilson, WR, Cardinals

ADP: 87th Overall (WR36)

Michael Wilson is one of my favorite fantasy football value picks because his breakout 2025 season is going a little undervalued.

Wilson put together a strong 2025 campaign, finishing with 78 receptions for 1,006 yards and seven touchdowns on 126 targets across 17 games. That was good for a WR10 finish in PPR formats, yet he's still being drafted well outside the range of players who produced like that a year ago.

What makes Wilson particularly interesting is how well he performed once Jacoby Brissett took over as the Arizona Cardinals‘ quarterback. Brissett started from Week 6 onward, and Wilson averaged 11 targets per game over his final eight games, turning those opportunities into 7.0 receptions, 96.9 receiving yards and 0.75 touchdowns per game. That's elite fantasy production, and it wasn't simply a one- or two-game spike; Wilson finished the season with a touchdown in five consecutive games.

Brissett is back as Arizona's starter in 2026, which gives Wilson an important piece of continuity. The Cardinals passed at an extremely high rate with Brissett last season — 40.3 attempts per game — so it's fair to expect some regression in that volume. Still, Wilson's ability to capitalize on the opportunities he received is encouraging, and he has already demonstrated that he can be a highly productive fantasy receiver when the ball is coming his way.

There are legitimate reasons to be cautious, particularly with Marvin Harrison Jr. expected to be healthier and Trey McBride commanding a massive share of the passing game. But that's also what makes Wilson's current ADP appealing. He already showed WR1-level upside in the right circumstances, and you can get him outside the top 30 WRs.

Jared Goff, QB, Detroit Lions

ADP: 122nd Overall (QB16)

Goff is not a flashy pick, but that's precisely why I like him as a value.

He finished 2025 with 4,564 passing yards and 34 touchdowns — topping 4,500 yards for the third straight season. He scored 253.3 fantasy points, finishing 10th among quarterbacks, while his current ADP sits around QB16.

The biggest reason to be optimistic about another strong season is the environment around him. The Detroit Lions continue to have an offense built around elite playmakers such as Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jahmyr Gibbs, while Goff has already shown that he can produce at a high level without needing significant rushing numbers. His 2025 rushing line was modest — 45 yards on 19 carries — but that's less important when he's capable of producing 30-plus passing touchdowns and massive passing-yard totals.

Goff is better suited for two-quarterbacks formats, and in those leagues, he’s one of my favorite mid-round QB picks.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., RB, Jaguars

ADP: 142nd Overall (RB46)

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is an interesting late-round fantasy value because there is a legitimate path to a much bigger role than his current ADP suggests.

Rodriguez is currently competing with Bhayshul Tuten for work in the Jacksonville Jaguars‘ offense, and Tuten is the player generally viewed as being ahead of him in the backfield, with Tuten’s ADP at 57th overall. However, the Jaguars' own depth chart has listed Tuten and Rodriguez as co-starters, which underscores just how unsettled this backfield remains.

Rodriguez brings some encouraging production from last season. He rushed for 500 yards and six touchdowns on 112 carries across 13 games, averaging 4.46 yards per carry, while starting seven games for the Washington Commanders. He was particularly effective in terms of creating first downs, picking up 32 rushing first downs on those 112 attempts.

The biggest obstacle to a Rodriguez breakout is Tuten. The second-year back showed plenty of explosiveness as a rookie, but we still don't know exactly what his role or workload will look like in 2026. Tuten rushed for 307 yards and five touchdowns last season, and he's certainly capable of earning the majority of the touches, but Jacksonville hasn't treated the backfield as a settled one throughout the offseason.

That's what makes Rodriguez appealing at his ADP. You don't need him to beat out Tuten outright for him to become useful in fantasy. If Jacksonville continues using a committee, Rodriguez could still see enough carries to matter, and any injury or struggles from Tuten could quickly turn Rodriguez into a much bigger piece of the offense.

Here’s some other fantasy football content to check out:

• Fantasy Football WR Rankings
• Fantasy Football RB Rankings
• Fantasy Football Sleepers
• Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet
• Fantasy Football League Winners
• Fantasy Football Players to Avoid

Fantasy Football Value Picks FAQ

What is a fantasy football value pick?

A fantasy football value pick is a player whose expected production makes them more valuable than their current average draft position suggests. These players can help you get more production without having to spend an early-round pick.

How do you find fantasy football value picks?

Look for players with a combination of talent, opportunity and favorable draft cost. Changes in workload, offensive scheme, competition for touches and targets, and a player's previous production can all help identify potential values.

Are value picks the same as fantasy football sleepers?

Not necessarily. Sleepers are typically players who are being drafted late and have breakout potential, while value picks can come at virtually any point in a draft. An established player being selected below their expected range can be a strong value without necessarily being a sleeper.

When should I target fantasy football value picks?

The best time to target a value pick depends on how your draft is progressing and where the player is typically being selected. The goal is to avoid reaching too early while still making sure you don't miss out on players whose draft cost doesn't match their upside.

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