FanDuel MLB DFS Picks: Thursday 9/5/24

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Let's check out the top options on today's main slate, which starts at 6:40 p.m. ET.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

MLB DFS Picks

Pitcher Breakdown

There are three high-salary arms in great spots tonight -- Reynaldo Lopez ($10,900), Ranger Suarez ($10,500) and Cody Bradford ($9,700). You can make a good case for all three as they each draw a nice matchup, with Lopez hosting the Colorado Rockies, Suarez on the road at the Miami Marlins and Bradford getting the Los Angeles Angels.

Between the trio, I lean Suarez. Miami is next to last in wOBA against lefties this season (.280), and Suarez has been lights out away from home, pitching to a 2.99 xFIP and 25.3% strikeout rate in the split. Miami's 3.32 implied total is a slate-low clip. Also, there's a chance Suarez is the least popular of tonight's three top options.

After that top three, it's not pretty, but Jake Irvin ($8,400) is a decent value play. The right-handed Irvin has a friendly road matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates. Irvin's overall numbers are respectable (4.14 SIERA and 20.6% strikeout rate), and he's better on the road, permitting just a .298 wOBA in the split. If I deviate from the slate's big three, Irvin is where I'll land.

Stacks to Target

• Atlanta Braves (5.16 implied total)
  • The Braves are the clear-cut top stack. They're at home versus Austin Gomber. Marcell Ozuna ($3,700) is an elite play, and Jorge Soler ($3,100) is also one of the slate's premier bats as he's produced a .366 wOBA and 57.8% fly-ball rate against left-handers. Sean Murphy ($2,700), Ramon Laureano ($2,600) and Gio Urshela ($2,500) stand out as low-salaried righties. Gomber isn't all that tough on lefties, though, so don't sleep on Matt Olson ($3,200), who owns +400 odds to hit a home run.
• Philadelphia Phillies (4.68)
  • My main differentiation point tonight will be to go light on the Phillies. I think Adam Oller (23.9% K rate in 16 1/3 MLB innings this year) isn't that bad, and the Phillies will likely be very popular. With that said, I know it could blow up in my face. Our MLB DFS projections think it will as we have Kyle Schwarber ($3,600) and Bryce Harper ($3,700) as the slate's top two bats.
• Washington Nationals (4.14)
  • The Nats get a friendly matchup with Bailey Falter and have some easy-to-get-to salaries. Falter has struggled to a 4.86 SIERA and is giving up a 43.8% fly-ball rate to righties. Dylan Crews ($3,100), Andres Chaparro ($2,600) and Juan Yepez ($2,800) are appealing options as a mini-stack or as one-off plays. In a tiny sample of 27 plate appearances, Chaparro has a .360 wOBA versus lefties.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.