Euro 2024 Final England vs. Spain: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is at the final stage, and FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for the final.

On Sunday at 3 p.m. ET, England (fifth in the FIFA rankings) and Spain (eighth) square off in the final.

How will this match play out?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro Final 2024 England vs. Spain: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

England vs. Spain Odds

• England to Win: +240
• Spain to Win: +145
• Draw: +180
• Over 2.5 Goal Odds: +154
• Under 2.5 Goal Odds: -188
• England to Lift the Trophy: +128
• Spain to Lift the Trophy: -152

England vs. Spain Best Bet

Spain Moneyline (+145)

Based on what we've seen at this tournament, it doesn't take much work to talk yourself into Spain's moneyline at +145 odds.

Spain have been a better side than England all tourney and are coming off wins against Germany and France -- two teams that are a lot better than anything England has had to face.

Despite getting to the final, England's attack is still struggling to create chances. They’ve amassed more than 1.0 expected goals (xG) -- per FBRef's xG model -- in a match only twice through six outings, and one of those came last round when they totaled 1.2 xG against the Netherlands, a clip that was aided by getting a (questionable) penalty. And again, England have put up these blah xG numbers against a pretty soft run of opponents.

Spain, on the other hand, had produced at least 1.5 xG in every match prior to generating only 0.7 xG against France's elite defense last time out. France keeping Spain’s electric attack under wraps should give England some hope, but England’s defense -- which has been their strength in recent tournaments -- hasn’t been all that great in the knockout rounds, allowing 2.2 xG to Slovakia and 1.5 xG to Switzerland.

Spain are a lot better than Slovakia and Switzerland and will be by far the toughest challenge England have played this tourney. On the flip side, England will probably be the third-best team Spain has seen this tourney and the worst team -- by xG numbers -- they've played since the Round of 16.

Spain’s defense will give up some chances due to their style of play, but I’m not sure England’s sputtering attack can take advantage. Spain will likely have a lot of the ball and create plenty against England’s defense -- it'll just come down to whether or not those chances turn into goals.

In my eyes, everything comes up Spain.

England vs. Spain Prop Bet

Lamine Yamal 1+ Shot on Target (-120)

England haven't found an answer at left-back in this tourney, deploying a combination of an out-of-position Kierian Tripper and a not-fully-fit Luke Shaw. That should spell trouble against Spain right-winger Lamine Yamal.

Yamal has been stellar this tourney, and he should cause fits for either of Shaw or Trippier. I think Yamal will find a lot of joy in this match, one where Spain figure to have plenty of the ball.

He's registered a shot on target in three straight matches, and these -120 odds are a pretty appealing number for him to do it again on Sunday.

England vs. Spain Prediction

Opta's model projects Spain to win in regulation 40.5% of the time while seeing a draw (30.5%) and England win (29.0%) as nearly equally likely.

MasseyRatings favors Spain a bit more, giving the Spanish side a 47% chance to win.

The Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook list Spain's moneyline at +145, which implies win odds of 40.8% -- right in line with Opta's model.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.