Duke vs Virginia Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 17

The Virginia Cavaliers (13-12, 6-8 ACC) will try to continue a three-game winning streak when they host the Duke Blue Devils (22-3, 14-1 ACC) on February 17, 2025 at John Paul Jones Arena.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. Virginia Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Monday, February 17, 2025
• Game time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Charlottesville, Virginia
• Arena: John Paul Jones Arena

Duke vs. Virginia Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (84.8%)

Take a look at the betting insights and trends below before placing a bet on Monday's Duke-Virginia spread (Duke -14.5) or over/under (132.5 points).

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Duke vs. Virginia: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Duke has put together a 15-10-0 record against the spread this season.
• Virginia is 12-13-0 ATS this year.
• As a 14.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Duke is 10-6 against the spread compared to the 1-1 ATS record Virginia puts up as a 14.5-point underdog.
• The Blue Devils have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered nine times in 15 games when playing at home, and they've covered six times in eight games on the road.
• The Cavaliers have the same winning percentage against the spread (.500) at home (7-7-0 record) and on the road (4-4-0) this season.
• Against the spread, in conference play, Duke is 9-6-0 this year.
• Virginia has covered the spread eight times in 14 ACC games.

Duke vs. Virginia: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Duke has been the moneyline favorite in 23 games this season and has come away with the win 20 times (87%) in those contests.
• The Blue Devils have not lost in 14 games this year when favored by -1587 or better on the moneyline.
• Virginia has a 5-11 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 31.2% of those games).
• The Cavaliers have played as a moneyline underdog of +860 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
• Duke has an implied victory probability of 94.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Duke vs. Virginia Head-to-Head Comparison

• Duke has a +506 scoring differential, topping opponents by 20.2 points per game. It is putting up 81 points per game to rank 36th in college basketball and is allowing 60.8 per outing to rank sixth in college basketball.
• Cooper Flagg's 19.8 points per game lead Duke and are 17th in the country.
• Virginia scores 64.6 points per game (352nd in college basketball) and concedes 64.9 (24th in college basketball) for a -9 scoring differential overall.
• Isaac McKneely's 13.7 points per game paces Virginia and ranks 411th in the nation.
• The Blue Devils win the rebound battle by 8.8 boards on average. They record 35.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 27th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 27 per contest.
• Flagg's 7.5 rebounds per game lead the Blue Devils and rank 102nd in college basketball play.
• The 28 rebounds per game the Cavaliers accumulate rank 344th in college basketball, 1.4 fewer than the 29.4 their opponents grab.
• Blake Buchanan averages 5.7 rebounds per game (381st in college basketball) to lead the Cavaliers.
• Duke ranks third in college basketball with 109 points scored per 100 possessions, and sixth in college basketball defensively with 81.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Cavaliers average 95.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (183rd in college basketball), and allow 96.1 points per 100 possessions (275th in college basketball).

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