Duke vs North Carolina Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for ACC Tournament

The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (29-3, 19-1 ACC) square off in the ACC tournament against the No. 5 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (22-12, 13-7 ACC) on Friday at Spectrum Center, starting at 7 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. North Carolina Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
• Arena: Spectrum Center

To help you make an informed wager on Duke-North Carolina contest (in which Duke is a 6.5-point favorite and the total is set at 152.5 points), keep reading for a few betting insights and trends for Friday's game.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Duke vs. North Carolina: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Duke has won 21 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
• North Carolina has compiled a 14-20-0 record against the spread this year.
• As a 6.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, North Carolina is 1-2 against the spread compared to the 19-9 ATS record Duke puts up as a 6.5-point favorite.
• In home games, the Blue Devils sport a worse record against the spread (11-6-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (9-2-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Tar Heels have a better winning percentage at home (.467, 7-8-0 record) than on the road (.333, 4-8-0).
• Duke is 14-7-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
• North Carolina is 9-13-0 against the spread in ACC action this season.

Duke vs. North Carolina: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Duke has been victorious in 27, or 90%, of the 30 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Blue Devils have not lost in 26 games this year when favored by -310 or better on the moneyline.
• North Carolina has won one of the nine games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (11.1%).
• The Tar Heels have not won a game when it entered play as a moneyline underdog with odds of +245 or longer in three chances.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Duke has a 75.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Duke vs. North Carolina Head-to-Head Comparison

• Duke is outscoring opponents by 21.7 points per game with a +693 scoring differential overall. It puts up 83.3 points per game (12th in college basketball) and gives up 61.6 per contest (sixth in college basketball).
• Cooper Flagg's team-leading 18.9 points per game ranks 47th in college basketball.
• North Carolina outscores opponents by 6.1 points per game (posting 81.1 points per game, 29th in college basketball, and conceding 75 per contest, 270th in college basketball) and has a +207 scoring differential.
• North Carolina's leading scorer, RJ Davis, is 97th in the country, averaging 17.3 points per game.
• The 36.3 rebounds per game the Blue Devils average rank 15th in the country, and are 9.5 more than the 26.8 their opponents collect per outing.
• Flagg averages 7.5 rebounds per game (ranking 107th in college basketball) to lead the Blue Devils.
• The Tar Heels prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 2.2 boards. They are pulling down 33.4 rebounds per game (94th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 31.2.
• Ven-Allen Lubin's 5.5 rebounds per game lead the Tar Heels and rank 449th in the nation.
• Duke ranks first in college basketball by averaging 110.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is fourth in college basketball, allowing 82 points per 100 possessions.
• The Tar Heels score 102.2 points per 100 possessions (40th in college basketball), while conceding 94.6 points per 100 possessions (213th in college basketball).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!