Duke vs North Carolina Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 8

Two streaking teams square off when the Duke Blue Devils (27-3, 18-1 ACC) visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (20-11, 13-6 ACC) on March 8, 2025. The Blue Devils will put their seven-game win streak on the line against the Tar Heels, who have won six straight.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. North Carolina Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 8, 2025
• Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Arena: Dean E. Smith Center

Duke vs. North Carolina Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (65.6%)

Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before making a wager on Saturday's Duke-North Carolina spread (Duke -9.5) or total (156.5 points).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Duke vs. North Carolina: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Duke has put together a 20-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• North Carolina has covered 12 times in 31 chances against the spread this season.
• Duke covers the spread when it is a 9.5-point favorite or more 69.6% of the time. That's more often than North Carolina covers as an underdog of 9.5 or more (never covered this season).
• In home games, the Blue Devils sport a worse record against the spread (11-6-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (8-2-0).
• The Tar Heels' winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (7-7-0). Away, it is .333 (4-8-0).
• Duke has 13 wins against the spread in 19 conference games this season.
• North Carolina's ACC record against the spread is 7-12-0.

Duke vs. North Carolina: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Duke has been victorious in 25, or 89.3%, of the 28 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Blue Devils have yet to lose in 21 games when named as moneyline favorite of -465 or better.
• North Carolina has been the underdog on the moneyline eight total times this season. North Carolina has finished 1-7 in those games.
• The Tar Heels have played as a moneyline underdog of +350 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Duke has a 82.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Duke vs. North Carolina Head-to-Head Comparison

• Duke has a +672 scoring differential, topping opponents by 22.4 points per game. It is putting up 83.5 points per game to rank 12th in college basketball and is giving up 61.1 per outing to rank sixth in college basketball.
• Duke's leading scorer, Cooper Flagg, is 28th in the nation averaging 19.6 points per game.
• North Carolina puts up 82.1 points per game (23rd in college basketball) while giving up 75.9 per contest (291st in college basketball). It has a +191 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 6.2 points per game.
• RJ Davis is 101st in college basketball with a team-high 17.2 points per game.
• The Blue Devils rank 15th in the nation at 36.3 rebounds per game. That's 9.4 more than the 26.9 their opponents average.
• Flagg is 94th in college basketball action with 7.6 rebounds per game to lead the Blue Devils.
• The Tar Heels win the rebound battle by 2.5 boards on average. They collect 33.4 rebounds per game, 92nd in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 30.9.
• Seth Trimble averages 5.3 rebounds per game (508th in college basketball) to lead the Tar Heels.
• Duke ranks first in college basketball with 111.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and third in college basketball defensively with 81.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Tar Heels rank 32nd in college basketball averaging 102.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 232nd, allowing 95.2 points per 100 possessions.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!