Duke vs Baylor Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for NCAA Tournament Second Round

The No. 1 seed Duke Blue Devils (32-3) try to advance to the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament when they face the No. 9 seed Baylor Bears (20-14) on Sunday at 2:40 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. Baylor Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 23, 2025
• Game time: 2:40 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
• Arena: Lenovo Center

Duke vs. Baylor Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (74%)

Before making a wager on Sunday's Duke-Baylor spread (Duke -12.5) or over/under (144.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Duke vs. Baylor: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Duke has put together a 23-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Baylor has covered 14 times in 33 games with a spread this year.
• The Blue Devils have done a better job covering the spread in road games (9-2-0) than they have in home games (11-6-0).
• The Bears' winning percentage against the spread at home is .533 (8-7-0). On the road, it is .182 (2-9-0).

Duke vs. Baylor: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Duke has won in 30, or 90.9%, of the 33 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Blue Devils have been a -877 moneyline favorite on 22 occasions this season and won every game.
• Baylor has yet to win a game it played as the moneyline underdog this season, going 1-0.
• The Bears have never played a game this season with moneyline odds of +580 or longer.
• Duke has an implied victory probability of 89.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Duke vs. Baylor Head-to-Head Comparison

• Duke outscores opponents by 21.5 points per game (scoring 83 per game to rank 13th in college basketball while allowing 61.5 per outing to rank sixth in college basketball) and has a +751 scoring differential overall.
• Cooper Flagg leads Duke, averaging 18.7 points per game (57th in college basketball).
• Baylor is outscoring opponents by 7.2 points per game, with a +244 scoring differential overall. It puts up 76.4 points per game (107th in college basketball) and allows 69.2 per outing (87th in college basketball).
• Norchad Omier paces Baylor, averaging 15.8 points per game (198th in college basketball).
• The Blue Devils rank 17th in college basketball at 36.1 rebounds per game. That's 8.9 more than the 27.2 their opponents average.
• Flagg averages 7.5 rebounds per game (ranking 104th in college basketball) to lead the Blue Devils.
• The Bears win the rebound battle by three boards on average. They record 33 rebounds per game, 117th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 30.
• Omier paces the Bears with 10.9 rebounds per game (fifth in college basketball).
• Duke ranks first in college basketball with 110.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and fourth in college basketball defensively with 81.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Bears' 99.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 83rd in college basketball, and the 90.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 91st in college basketball.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!