Dayton vs Saint Joseph's (PA) Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for A-10 Tournament

The No. 3 seed Dayton Flyers (22-9, 12-6 A-10) take on the No. 6 seed Saint Joseph's (PA) Hawks (21-11, 11-7 A-10) in the A-10 tournament Friday at Capital One Arena, starting at 7:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Dayton vs. Saint Joseph's (PA) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Friday, March 14, 2025
• Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Arena: Capital One Arena

Dayton vs. Saint Joseph's (PA) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Dayton win (50.2%)

Read these betting insights and trends before you wager on Friday's Dayton-Saint Joseph's (PA) spread (Dayton -1.5) or over/under (143.5 points).

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Dayton vs. Saint Joseph's (PA): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Dayton has covered 15 times in 30 matchups with a spread this season.
• Saint Joseph's (PA) has compiled a 15-17-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Dayton (9-13) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (40.9%) than Saint Joseph's (PA) (3-4) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (42.9%).
• When playing at home, the Flyers have a worse record against the spread (7-10-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (5-4-0).
• The Hawks have been better against the spread on the road (5-5-0) than at home (7-10-0) this year.
• Dayton has beaten the spread seven times in 18 conference games.
• Saint Joseph's (PA) has 10 wins against the spread in 20 A-10 games this year.

Dayton vs. Saint Joseph's (PA): Moneyline Betting Stats

• Dayton has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 22 games this year and has walked away with the win 17 times (77.3%) in those games.
• This season, the Flyers have come away with a win 17 times in 21 chances when named as a favorite of at least -125 or better on the moneyline.
• Saint Joseph's (PA) has put together a 2-5 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 28.6% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +104 or longer, the Hawks have a record of 2-5 (28.6%).
• Dayton has an implied victory probability of 55.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dayton vs. Saint Joseph's (PA) Head-to-Head Comparison

• Dayton's +169 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 5.4 points per game) is a result of scoring 75.4 points per game (134th in college basketball) while allowing 70 per outing (117th in college basketball).
• Dayton's leading scorer, Nate Santos, is 366th in the nation averaging 14.1 points per game.
• Saint Joseph's (PA) is outscoring opponents by 7.3 points per game, with a +234 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.8 points per game (120th in college basketball) and gives up 68.5 per contest (74th in college basketball).
• Xzayvier Brown's team-leading 17.1 points per game rank him 106th in the country.
• The 31.1 rebounds per game the Flyers average rank 232nd in college basketball, and are 1.2 more than the 29.9 their opponents collect per outing.
• Enoch Cheeks' 6.3 rebounds per game lead the Flyers and rank 256th in college basketball play.
• The 33.3 rebounds per game the Hawks accumulate rank 100th in college basketball, 2.9 more than the 30.4 their opponents record.
• Rasheer Fleming's 8.6 rebounds per game lead the Hawks and rank 42nd in the country.
• Dayton puts up 101 points per 100 possessions (61st in college basketball), while giving up 93.7 points per 100 possessions (182nd in college basketball).
• The Hawks record 98.5 points per 100 possessions (103rd in college basketball), while giving up 89 points per 100 possessions (69th in college basketball).

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