College Football Picks for Saturday: 4 Predictions and Best Bets (Nov. 14)

College Football Picks in Summary

• Miami -13.5 (-110) vs. Duke
• Georgia -15.5 (-110) vs. Missouri
• Michigan–Oregon Under 38.5 (-110)
• Utah -2.5 (-110) at Arizona

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Saturday’s college football slate brings several high-profile matchups, with conference races and playoff positioning hanging in the balance.

Whether you’re looking for college football picks, predictions, or betting analysis, breaking down the latest odds, matchups, and key trends can help identify the best bets to consider.

Let’s get you ready for this week by looking at our best bets.

All college football odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Saturday College Football Predictions, Picks

Miami -13.5 (-110)

Duke at Miami — 12:00 p.m. ET

Miami has one of the most productive offenses in the country, generating 0.326 expected points added (EPA) per offensive play and a 57.3% offensive success rate. The Hurricanes are averaging 41.0 points per game, and that sustained efficiency should test a Duke defense allowing a 43.2% success rate.

Duke has been solid on offense with a 45.6% success rate, but its 0.109 offensive EPA per play is well below Miami’s mark. The Hurricanes’ defense has been vulnerable at times, allowing 48.6% of opposing plays to qualify as successful; that gives the Blue Devils a route to scoring enough to stay close.

However, Miami’s sizable advantage in offensive EPA and its ability to string together successful plays make a double-digit win plausible at home. Miami found something on offense in the second half at Notre Dame, and I think they’ll roll past Duke.

Georgia -15.5 (-110)

Missouri at Georgia — 3:30 p.m. ET

Georgia enters with a substantial efficiency advantage on both sides of the ball.

The Bulldogs have produced a 53.3% offensive success rate and 0.203 offensive EPA per play while allowing negative 0.167 EPA per play on defense. That combination has helped Georgia average 38.4 points per game.

Missouri has managed only a 42.6% offensive success rate and 0.044 offensive EPA per play. This is a very difficult matchup for Mizzou against a Georgia defense that limits explosive gains and has already shown it can shut down capable SEC competition, most recently holding Ole Miss to seven points.

Missouri’s defense has allowed a 43.2% success rate, another area Georgia can exploit.

The last time we saw Georgia at home, they slipped up as huge favorites versus Auburn. I don’t envision that happening again. I’m backing the Dawgs to cover.

Michigan–Oregon Under 38.5 (-110)

Michigan at Oregon — 3:30 p.m. ET

Michigan’s offense has struggled to score points, averaging just 19.6 points per game and posting negative 0.007 offensive EPA per play. The Wolverines have nevertheless been very effective defensively, allowing negative 0.134 EPA per opponent play and a 41.4% defensive success rate.

That combination points toward a game in which Michigan has trouble scoring but can keep the opposing offense from consistently finishing drives.

Oregon is generating only 0.035 offensive EPA per play and has a 43.1% offensive success rate, both pedestrian figures. The Ducks’ defense has allowed a 41.6% success rate and just played excellent defensive football at Ohio State.

With two quality defenses facing a pair of meh offenses, the under is the side I want to back — even at this low number.

Utah -2.5 (-110)

Utah at Arizona — 7:30 p.m. ET

Utah has been markedly more complete than most Big 12 opponents, combining 0.239 offensive EPA per play with negative 0.121 defensive EPA per play. The Utes’ offense has a 53.4% success rate, and their defense has limited opposing offenses to a 36.8% success rate.

That efficiency on both sides should travel well even in a difficult road environment.

Arizona is a dangerous opponent, with 0.159 offensive EPA per play and 34.1 points per game, but its defense has allowed 0.015 EPA per play and a 45.5% success rate.

Utah’s ability to sustain drives should help the Utes keep the Wildcats’ offense on the sideline.

With the spread below a field goal, Utah’s stronger defensive profile and major edge in success-rate differential make the road favorite appealing.

Check out our favorite college football prop bets for this week.

College Football Betting FAQ

What is a point spread in college football betting?

The point spread is designed to account for the expected difference between two teams. The favorite must win by more than the listed spread for a bet on that team to cover while the underdog can cover by winning outright or losing by fewer points than the spread.

What is a college football moneyline bet?

A moneyline wager is simply a bet on which team will win the game. Favorites typically have shorter odds and smaller potential payouts while underdogs generally offer larger potential returns.

What does over/under mean in college football?

An over/under, also known as the game total, is a wager on the combined number of points scored by both teams. Bettors can choose whether the final combined score will finish over or under the set total.

What are college football player props?

College football player props are wagers based on an individual player's performance rather than the final outcome of the game. Depending on availability, common markets can include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, and other statistical categories.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.