Cal Poly vs UC Davis Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big West Tournament

The No. 7 seed Cal Poly Mustangs (14-18, 8-12 Big West) and the No. 6 seed UC Davis Aggies (15-16, 9-11 Big West) play in the Big West tournament Wednesday at Lee's Family Forum, tipping off at 11:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 11:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Henderson, Nevada
• Arena: Lee's Family Forum

If you plan to place a wager on Cal Poly-UC Davis contest (in which Cal Poly is a 1.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 150.5 points), here are a few betting trends and insights for Wednesday's game.

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Cal Poly vs. UC Davis: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Cal Poly has put together a 14-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• UC Davis has put together a 15-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, UC Davis is 8-7 against the spread compared to the 5-4 ATS record Cal Poly puts up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• Against the spread, the Mustangs have played better when playing at home, covering six times in 12 home games, and eight times in 17 road games.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Aggies have a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 6-6-0 record) than away (.562, 9-7-0).
• Against the spread, in conference games, Cal Poly is 9-10-0 this year.
• UC Davis' Big West record against the spread is 11-9-0.

Cal Poly vs. UC Davis: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Cal Poly has been victorious in seven of the nine contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This year, the Mustangs have won seven of nine games when listed as at least -118 or better on the moneyline.
• UC Davis has gone 4-11 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 26.7% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -102 or longer, the Aggies have a 4-11 record (winning just 26.7% of their games).
• Cal Poly has an implied victory probability of 54.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Head-to-Head Comparison

• Cal Poly has a -33 scoring differential, putting up 81.7 points per game (24th in college basketball) and allowing 82.7 (360th in college basketball).
• Owen Koonce's 17.2 points per game lead Cal Poly and rank 99th in the nation.
• UC Davis has a -64 scoring differential, falling short by 2.1 points per game. It is putting up 67.7 points per game, 324th in college basketball, and is giving up 69.8 per outing to rank 108th in college basketball.
• UC Davis' leading scorer, Ty Johnson, is sixth in the nation, scoring 21.2 points per game.
• The Mustangs grab 31.3 rebounds per game (214th in college basketball) while conceding 34.8 per contest to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 3.5 boards per game.
• Koonce is 656th in college basketball play with 4.9 rebounds per game to lead the Mustangs.
• The Aggies are 302nd in the country at 29.9 rebounds per game. That's 3.1 fewer than the 33 their opponents average.
• Niko Rocak leads the team with 6.8 rebounds per game (194th in college basketball).
• Cal Poly ranks 189th in college basketball by averaging 95.4 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 273rd in college basketball, allowing 96.6 points per 100 possessions.
• The Aggies' 87.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 342nd in college basketball, and the 90.3 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 98th in college basketball.

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