Cal Poly vs UC Davis Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big West Tournament

The No. 7 seed Cal Poly Mustangs (14-18, 8-12 Big West) are squaring off against the No. 6 seed UC Davis Aggies (15-16, 9-11 Big West) in the Big West tournament on Wednesday at Lee's Family Forum, at 11:30 p.m. ET airing on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 12, 2025
• Game time: 11:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Henderson, Nevada
• Arena: Lee's Family Forum

Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Cal Poly win (56.3%)

Here's a look at some betting trends for Cal Poly (-1.5) versus UC Davis on Wednesday. The total has been set at 151.5 points for this game.

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Cal Poly vs. UC Davis: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Cal Poly has put together a 14-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• UC Davis has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 13 times.
• As a 1.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Cal Poly is 5-4 against the spread compared to the 8-7 ATS record UC Davis racks up as a 1.5-point underdog.
• The Mustangs own a better record against the spread when playing at home (6-6-0) than they do on the road (8-9-0).
• The Aggies' winning percentage against the spread at home is .500 (6-6-0). Away, it is .562 (9-7-0).
• Cal Poly is 9-10-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
• UC Davis' Big West record against the spread is 11-9-0.

Cal Poly vs. UC Davis: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Cal Poly has won in seven of the nine contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Mustangs have a win-loss record of 7-2 when favored by -115 or better by sportsbooks this year.
• UC Davis has put together a 4-11 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 26.7% of those games).
• The Aggies have a record of 4-11 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -104 or longer (26.7%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Cal Poly has a 53.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Cal Poly vs. UC Davis Head-to-Head Comparison

• Cal Poly has a -33 scoring differential, putting up 81.7 points per game (24th in college basketball) and giving up 82.7 (360th in college basketball).
• Owen Koonce's team-leading 17.2 points per game ranks 101st in college basketball.
• UC Davis is being outscored by 2.1 points per game, with a -64 scoring differential overall. It puts up 67.7 points per game (324th in college basketball), and allows 69.8 per contest (108th in college basketball).
• Ty Johnson leads UC Davis, recording 21.2 points per game (sixth in college basketball).
• The 31.3 rebounds per game the Mustangs average rank 214th in the nation, and are 3.5 fewer than the 34.8 their opponents collect per outing.
• Koonce tops the Mustangs with 4.9 rebounds per game (657th in college basketball action).
• The Aggies lose the rebound battle by 3.1 boards on average. They record 29.9 rebounds per game, 304th in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 33.
• Niko Rocak's 6.8 rebounds per game lead the Aggies and rank 193rd in the nation.
• Cal Poly's 95.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 191st in college basketball, and the 96.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 272nd in college basketball.
• The Aggies average 87.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (341st in college basketball), and give up 90.3 points per 100 possessions (98th in college basketball).

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