Cal Baptist vs Tarleton State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for WAC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Cal Baptist Lancers (16-14, 9-7 WAC) are taking on the No. 6 seed Tarleton State Texans (12-19, 7-9 WAC) in the WAC tournament on Thursday at Orleans Arena, at 11:30 p.m. ET airing on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 11:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Paradise, Nevada
• Arena: Orleans Arena

Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Cal Baptist win (68.6%)

Here's a look at some betting insights for Cal Baptist (-5.5) versus Tarleton State on Thursday. The over/under is set at 127.5 points for this game.

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Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Cal Baptist has put together an 11-19-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Tarleton State has covered 15 times in 28 matchups with a spread this year.
• As a 5.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Tarleton State is 9-10 against the spread compared to the 3-8 ATS record Cal Baptist racks up as a 5.5-point favorite.
• The Lancers sport a worse record against the spread in home games (4-12-0) than they do in road games (6-6-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Texans have a better winning percentage at home (.900, 9-1-0 record) than on the road (.333, 5-10-0).
• Cal Baptist has seven wins against the spread in 16 conference games this season.
• Tarleton State has nine wins against the spread in 16 WAC games this season.

Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Cal Baptist has won in 15, or 71.4%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This year, the Lancers have won 10 of 12 games when listed as at least -215 or better on the moneyline.
• Tarleton State has won 20.8% of the games this season it was the underdog on the moneyline (5-19).
• The Texans have a record of 4-16 when they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +176 or longer (20%).
• Cal Baptist has an implied victory probability of 68.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Cal Baptist's +44 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 72 points per game (237th in college basketball) while giving up 70.5 per contest (135th in college basketball).
• Dominique Daniels Jr. paces Cal Baptist, putting up 19.9 points per game (23rd in college basketball).
• Tarleton State puts up 63.7 points per game (357th in college basketball) while allowing 70.1 per outing (119th in college basketball). It has a -198 scoring differential and has been outscored by 6.4 points per game.
• Bubu Benjamin's team-leading 14.3 points per game rank him 342nd in the country.
• The Lancers rank 105th in the nation at 33.2 rebounds per game. That's 2.3 more than the 30.9 their opponents average.
• Kendal Coleman leads the Lancers with 8.3 rebounds per game (49th in college basketball action).
• The 27.3 rebounds per game the Texans accumulate rank 350th in college basketball, 1.2 fewer than the 28.5 their opponents record.
• Chris Mpaka tops the team with 5.5 rebounds per game (448th in college basketball).
• Cal Baptist's 92.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 265th in college basketball, and the 90.7 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 107th in college basketball.
• The Texans rank 358th in college basketball averaging 84 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 154th, allowing 92.4 points per 100 possessions.

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