Cal Baptist vs Tarleton State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for WAC Tournament

The No. 3 seed Cal Baptist Lancers (16-14, 9-7 WAC) will hit the court in the WAC tournament against the No. 6 seed Tarleton State Texans (12-19, 7-9 WAC), Thursday at 11:30 p.m. ET live on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 11:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Paradise, Nevada
• Arena: Orleans Arena

See these betting trends and insights before you bet on Thursday's Cal Baptist-Tarleton State spread (Cal Baptist -5.5) or total (128.5 points).

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Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Cal Baptist has compiled an 11-19-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Tarleton State has put together a 15-13-0 ATS record so far this season.
• When the spread is set as 5.5 or more this season, Cal Baptist (3-8) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (27.3%) than Tarleton State (9-10) does as the underdog (47.4%).
• The Lancers have done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (6-6-0) than they have in home games (4-12-0).
• The Texans have performed better against the spread at home (9-1-0) than on the road (5-10-0) this season.
• Cal Baptist is 7-9-0 against the spread in conference games this year.
• Tarleton State is 9-7-0 against the spread in WAC play this year.

Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Cal Baptist has come away with 15 wins in the 21 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Lancers have a win-loss record of 10-1 when favored by -235 or better by oddsmakers this year.
• Tarleton State has been the moneyline underdog 24 total times this season. Tarleton State has gone 5-19 in those games.
• The Texans are 2-16 (winning just 11.1% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +190 or longer.
• Cal Baptist has an implied victory probability of 70.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Cal Baptist vs. Tarleton State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Cal Baptist has a +44 scoring differential, topping opponents by 1.5 points per game. It is putting up 72 points per game to rank 236th in college basketball and is allowing 70.5 per outing to rank 131st in college basketball.
• Dominique Daniels Jr.'s team-leading 19.9 points per game ranks 23rd in college basketball.
• Tarleton State is being outscored by 6.4 points per game, with a -198 scoring differential overall. It puts up 63.7 points per game (357th in college basketball), and allows 70.1 per contest (119th in college basketball).
• Tarleton State's leading scorer, Bubu Benjamin, is 343rd in the nation, scoring 14.3 points per game.
• The 33.2 rebounds per game the Lancers average rank 108th in college basketball, and are 2.3 more than the 30.9 their opponents record per outing.
• Kendal Coleman's 8.3 rebounds per game lead the Lancers and rank 49th in college basketball play.
• The Texans come up short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.2 boards. They are collecting 27.3 rebounds per game (350th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 28.5.
• Chris Mpaka is 448th in college basketball with 5.5 rebounds per game, leading the Texans.
• Cal Baptist ranks 265th in college basketball with 92.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 107th in college basketball defensively with 90.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Texans rank 358th in college basketball with 84 points scored per 100 possessions, and 151st defensively with 92.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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