Boise State vs San Diego State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 5 seed Boise State Broncos (22-9, 14-6 MWC) take on the No. 4 seed San Diego State Aztecs (21-8, 14-6 MWC) in the MWC tournament Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, starting at 5:30 p.m. ET. Both teams will attempt to get one step closer to securing an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Boise State vs. San Diego State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 5:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Boise State vs. San Diego State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: San Diego State win (52.2%)

Before you bet on Thursday's Boise State-San Diego State spread (Boise State -2.5) or over/under (134.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Boise State vs. San Diego State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Boise State is 16-14-0 ATS this season.
• San Diego State is 12-16-0 ATS this year.
• As a 2.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Boise State is 13-10 against the spread compared to the 4-5 ATS record San Diego State puts up as a 2.5-point underdog.
• The Broncos have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (10-4-0) than they have in road affairs (5-6-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Aztecs have a better winning percentage at home (.429, 6-8-0 record) than away (.300, 3-7-0).
• Against the spread, in conference play, Boise State is 12-8-0 this season.
• San Diego State's MWC record against the spread is 9-11-0.

Boise State vs. San Diego State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Boise State has been victorious in 19, or 79.2%, of the 24 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Broncos have a mark of 19-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -132 or better on the moneyline.
• San Diego State has a 3-5 record in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 37.5% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +110 or longer, the Aztecs have a 3-5 record (winning just 37.5% of their games).
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Boise State has a 56.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Boise State vs. San Diego State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Boise State averages 76 points per game (118th in college basketball) while giving up 66.3 per outing (37th in college basketball). It has a +300 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 9.7 points per game.
• Tyson Degenhart leads Boise State, scoring 17.8 points per game (78th in college basketball).
• San Diego State's +227 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 7.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 71.5 points per game (248th in college basketball) while allowing 63.7 per contest (14th in college basketball).
• Nicholas Boyd leads San Diego State, recording 13.2 points per game (493rd in college basketball).
• The Broncos grab 33.9 rebounds per game (70th in college basketball) while allowing 25.9 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by eight boards per game.
• Degenhart leads the Broncos with 6.1 rebounds per game (295th in college basketball action).
• The Aztecs rank 173rd in the nation at 32.1 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.2 their opponents average.
• Magoon Gwath is 543rd in the country with 5.2 rebounds per game, leading the Aztecs.
• Boise State ranks 26th in college basketball by averaging 103.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 102nd in college basketball, allowing 90.5 points per 100 possessions.
• The Aztecs rank 201st in college basketball with 94.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 13th defensively with 84.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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