Boise State vs San Diego State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for MWC Tournament

The No. 5 seed Boise State Broncos (22-9, 14-6 MWC) square off in the MWC tournament against the No. 4 seed San Diego State Aztecs (21-8, 14-6 MWC) on Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center, tipping off at 5:30 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Boise State vs. San Diego State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 13, 2025
• Game time: 5:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS Sports Network
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Boise State vs. San Diego State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: San Diego State win (52.8%)

If you are planning on making a wager on Boise State-San Diego State contest (in which Boise State is a 1.5-point favorite and the over/under has been set at 133.5 points), keep reading for a few betting trends and insights for Thursday's game.

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Boise State vs. San Diego State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Boise State has covered 16 times in 30 chances against the spread this season.
• San Diego State has compiled a 12-16-0 ATS record so far this season.
• When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Boise State (13-12) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (52%) than San Diego State (4-5) does as the underdog (44.4%).
• The Broncos have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 10 times in 14 opportunities when playing at home, and they've covered five times in 11 opportunities on the road.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Aztecs have a better winning percentage at home (.429, 6-8-0 record) than on the road (.300, 3-7-0).
• Boise State is 12-8-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
• San Diego State's MWC record against the spread is 9-11-0.

Boise State vs. San Diego State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Boise State has won in 19, or 79.2%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Broncos have been victorious 20 times in 25 chances when named as a favorite of at least -108 or better on the moneyline.
• San Diego State has won three of the eight games it was the moneyline underdog this season (37.5%).
• The Aztecs have a 3-5 record (winning just 37.5% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of -111 or longer.
• Boise State has an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Boise State vs. San Diego State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Boise State's +300 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 76.0 points per game (118th in college basketball) while giving up 66.3 per outing (36th in college basketball).
• Tyson Degenhart is 78th in college basketball with a team-high 17.8 points per game.
• San Diego State puts up 71.5 points per game (248th in college basketball) while giving up 63.7 per outing (14th in college basketball). It has a +227 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 7.8 points per game.
• Nicholas Boyd leads San Diego State, putting up 13.2 points per game (494th in college basketball).
• The Broncos win the rebound battle by 8.0 boards on average. They collect 33.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 70th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 25.9 per outing.
• Degenhart tops the Broncos with 6.1 rebounds per game (295th in college basketball play).
• The Aztecs rank 173rd in the country at 32.1 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 31.2 their opponents average.
• Magoon Gwath is 544th in the nation with 5.2 rebounds per game, leading the Aztecs.
• Boise State scores 103.8 points per 100 possessions (26th in college basketball), while giving up 90.5 points per 100 possessions (102nd in college basketball).
• The Aztecs' 94.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 201st in college basketball, and the 84.4 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 13th in college basketball.

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