Yahoo Sports are unequivocal: "Arnautovic leads Austria's attack and is their focal point in the final third. As the primary striker against a Jordan defense that conceded 11 goals across five recent matches, Arnautovic's physical style and experience make him the most logical first scorer candidate in this fixture."

Dimers project him with the highest individual goal probability at 31%, clear of every other player. Sports Interaction list him as the anytime favourite at +110. Covers make the matchup case: "Austria showed little mercy against weaker opponents — 10-0 vs San Marino, 5-1 vs Ghana. Jordan struggled against Switzerland who scored four goals three weeks ago." CBS Eimer (31-13-2 WC run) notes Austria's "extremely strong attack — 22 goals in qualifying." At +370 first / +120 anytime for Austria's all-time record scorer with 31% projected goal probability against a Jordan side winless in their last five, this is the clearest first scorer play on tonight's card.

Sports Interaction place Gregoritsch at +115 anytime — just behind Arnautovic — and note he "has scored multiple goals during this recent undefeated run" for Austria. Dimers project his individual goal probability at 28%, only marginally behind Arnautovic's 31%, making the price differential between the two extremely thin.

The key value argument: Gregoritsch and Arnautovic operate in an interchangeable forward system under Rangnick, sharing nearly identical penalty-box exposure throughout matches. Yet Gregoritsch is priced at +390 first compared to Arnautovic's +370 — a minimal gap for a player with essentially the same goal probability. At +125 anytime for a confirmed Austria attacker with 28% projected goal probability against Jordan's injury-weakened defence, Gregoritsch is the outstanding value play on tonight's first scorer board. The same quality, nearly the same exposure, and a marginally better price.

Racing Post deliver the most compelling Sabitzer case: "Marcel Sabitzer has been in fine form for Austria, with three goals and three assists in qualifying. The Borussia Dortmund midfielder chipped in with three more goals and two assists in their warm-up friendlies." Sports Interaction go further: "Sabitzer, Rangnick's most consistent scorer of late, is +150 to score anytime."

WhoScored note Sabitzer has "registered at least one shot on target in seven of his last eight appearances." Dimers project his goal probability at 25.5% — third highest on the entire board behind only Arnautovic and Gregoritsch. He scored in Austria's 1-0 friendly wins over both Tunisia and South Korea, confirming peak tournament preparation form. Playing as the central attacking midfielder in Rangnick's high-press system, he arrives into shooting positions constantly. At +500 first / +160 anytime for Austria's form goalscorer with six goals across qualifying and warm-ups, this is the best-priced sleeper on tonight's board.

🔮 Prediction: Austria 3-0 Jordan — Arnautovic and Sabitzer both score

First Goal: Gregoritsch +390 🇦🇹
Best Value · Arnautovic +370 the top structural pick

Austria vs Jordan · Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara · 9 PM PT / Midnight ET

Who is most likely to score first in Austria vs Jordan?

Arnautovic at +370 first / +120 anytime is the market's unanimous pick. Yahoo Sports call him "the most logical first scorer candidate" and Dimers project a 31% goal probability. Sports Interaction list him as anytime favourite at +110. But Gregoritsch at +390 first is the outstanding value — Dimers project 28% goal probability at nearly the same price, same penalty-box exposure, just a tiny price gap. At essentially the same odds for nearly the same probability, Gregoritsch represents superior expected value.

Why is Sabitzer +500 first scorer worth considering?

Racing Post confirm Sabitzer had "three goals and three assists in qualifying plus three more goals and two assists in warm-up friendlies" — six goals across Austria's recent campaign. Sports Interaction identify him as "Rangnick's most consistent scorer of late." WhoScored note he has "registered at least one shot on target in seven of his last eight appearances." Dimers project his goal probability at 25.5% — third on the board. At +500 first / +160 anytime, this is excellent value for Austria's form scorer in the tournament's opening stages.

What are the Austria vs Jordan FanDuel odds tonight?

CBS Sports confirm Austria at -280 on the FanDuel money line, Jordan at +800, draw at +410. Over/under 2.5 goals. CBS Eimer (31-13-2 WC run) leans Over 2.5 at -156: "Austria scored 22 goals in qualifying — an extremely strong attack." Jordan are winless in their last five matches, conceding at least two goals in each, with striker Al-Naimat also ruled out injured.

What time and where is Austria vs Jordan tonight?

9:00 PM PT / Midnight ET (Wednesday June 17) at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Airs on FOX in English and Telemundo in Spanish. Group J alongside Argentina and Algeria. Austria return to the World Cup for the first time since 1998 — a 28-year absence. This is Jordan's first-ever World Cup appearance.