Astros vs Rays Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 3

Odds updated as of 5:12 a.m.
The MLB's Friday slate includes the Houston Astros taking on the Tampa Bay Rays.
Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.
Astros vs Rays Game Info
- Houston Astros (43-46) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (51-33)
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Venue: Daikin Park -- Houston, Texas
- Coverage: Apple TV+
Astros vs Rays Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: HOU: (-108) | TB: (-108)
- Spread: HOU: +1.5 (-184) | TB: -1.5 (+152)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)
Astros vs Rays Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Spencer Arrighetti (Astros) - 7-4, 4.00 ERA vs Nick Martínez (Rays) - 7-2, 2.66 ERA
The Astros will give the nod to Spencer Arrighetti (7-4, 4.00 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 8 on the season, and the Rays will turn to Nick Martinez (7-2, 2.66 ERA). When Arrighetti starts, his team is 8-5-0 against the spread this season. When Arrighetti starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 2-1. The Rays have a 12-4-0 record against the spread in Martínez's starts. The Rays have a 7-2 record in Martínez's nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
Astros vs Rays Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Rays win (57%)
Astros vs Rays Moneyline
- Houston is the favorite, -108 on the moneyline, while Tampa Bay is a -108 underdog on the road.
Astros vs Rays Spread
Astros vs Rays Over/Under
- A total of 8.5 runs has been set for the Astros-Rays contest on July 3, with the over available at -105 and the under at -115.
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Astros vs Rays Betting Trends
- The Astros have won in 13, or 43.3%, of the 30 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
- This season Houston has come away with a win 15 times in 34 chances when named as a favorite of at least -108 on the moneyline.
- The Astros and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 48 of their 89 opportunities.
- In 89 games with a line this season, the Astros have a mark of 41-48-0 against the spread.
- The Rays have been the underdog on the moneyline 27 total times this season. They've finished 15-12 in those games.
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of -108 or longer, Tampa Bay has a 15-12 record (winning 55.6% of its games).
- The Rays have played in 83 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 39 times (39-43-1).
- The Rays have covered 61.4% of their games this season, going 51-32-0 ATS.
Astros Player Leaders
- Yordan Alvarez leads Houston with 100 hits and an OBP of .433, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .620. He's batting .319.
- Among qualified hitters in baseball, his batting average ranks fourth, his on-base percentage ranks first, and he is first in slugging.
- Alvarez has recorded a base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a home run, four walks and four RBIs.
- Christian Walker has 16 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 30 walks. He's batting .239 and slugging .469 with an on-base percentage of .310.
- He is 111th in batting average, 112th in on-base percentage and 44th in slugging in MLB.
- Isaac Paredes is batting .250 with a .416 slugging percentage and 45 RBI this year.
- Cam Smith has 11 home runs, 32 RBI and a batting average of .223 this season.
- Smith enters this game on a three-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a double, three home runs and four RBIs.
Rays Player Leaders
- Junior Caminero has racked up 92 hits, a team-best for the Rays. He's batting .288 and slugging .552 with an on-base percentage of .378.
- Including all the qualified hitters in the majors, he is 22nd in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage and sixth in slugging percentage.
- Yandy Diaz paces his team with a .410 on-base percentage, and has a club-best .498 slugging percentage. He has a batting average of .326.
- His batting average ranks second among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks third, and he is 23rd in slugging.
- Jonathan Aranda is hitting .292 with 13 doubles, 13 home runs and 49 walks.
- Chandler Simpson has eight doubles, four triples and 18 walks while batting .278.
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