Arkansas vs Mississippi State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 8

The Arkansas Razorbacks (18-12, 7-10 SEC) will look to build on a three-game home win streak when they take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-10, 8-9 SEC) on March 8, 2025 at Bud Walton Arena.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 8, 2025
• Game time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Fayetteville, Arkansas
• Arena: Bud Walton Arena

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Arkansas win (65%)

Before you wager on Saturday's Arkansas-Mississippi State spread (Arkansas -1.5) or over/under (148.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Arkansas is 15-15-0 ATS this season.
• Mississippi State has compiled a 13-17-0 record against the spread this year.
• Arkansas (7-9) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 1.5 points or more this season (43.8%) than Mississippi State (2-3) does as a 1.5+-point underdog (40%).
• In home games, the Razorbacks own a better record against the spread (9-7-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (5-5-0).
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Bulldogs have a lower winning percentage at home (.400, 6-9-0 record) than away (.500, 5-5-0).
• Arkansas has covered the spread 10 times in 17 conference games.
• Mississippi State has covered the spread six times in 17 SEC games.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Arkansas has been the moneyline favorite in 15 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (80%) in those contests.
• This season, the Razorbacks have come away with a win 12 times in 15 chances when named as a favorite of at least -110 or better on the moneyline.
• Mississippi State has won two of the five games it was the moneyline underdog this season (40%).
• The Bulldogs are 2-3 (winning 40% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of -110 or longer.
• Arkansas has an implied victory probability of 52.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Arkansas outscores opponents by 5.9 points per game (scoring 76.1 per game to rank 117th in college basketball while allowing 70.2 per outing to rank 130th in college basketball) and has a +178 scoring differential overall.
• Adou Thiero paces Arkansas, scoring 15.7 points per game (209th in the country).
• Mississippi State is outscoring opponents by 5.6 points per game, with a +169 scoring differential overall. It puts up 79.2 points per game (57th in college basketball) and gives up 73.6 per contest (233rd in college basketball).
• Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State, scoring 18.2 points per game (63rd in college basketball).
• The Razorbacks record 32 rebounds per game (181st in college basketball) compared to the 31.7 of their opponents.
• Thiero leads the Razorbacks with six rebounds per game (317th in college basketball play).
• The Bulldogs win the rebound battle by an average of 3.4 boards. They are collecting 36 rebounds per game (21st in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 32.6.
• KeShawn Murphy is 107th in the country with 7.5 rebounds per game, leading the Bulldogs.
• Arkansas averages 96.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (148th in college basketball), and allows 89.3 points per 100 possessions (80th in college basketball).
• The Bulldogs average 99 points per 100 possessions on offense (97th in college basketball), and give up 91.9 points per 100 possessions (143rd in college basketball).

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