Alabama vs Mississippi State Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for February 25

SEC play on Tuesday will see the the No. 6 Alabama Crimson Tide (22-5, 11-3 SEC) host the No. 24 Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-8, 7-7 SEC) at Coleman Coliseum, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Tuesday, February 25, 2025
- Game time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV channel: ESPN2
- Location: Tuscaloosa, Alabama
- Arena: Coleman Coliseum
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Alabama win (74.2%)
Take a look at some betting trends and insights for Alabama (-8.5) versus Mississippi State on Tuesday. The total is set at 172.5 points for this game.
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Alabama vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Alabama has covered 15 times in 27 chances against the spread this season.
- Mississippi State has covered 12 times in 27 games with a spread this year.
- Alabama covers the spread when it is an 8.5-point favorite or more 56.2% of the time. That's more often than Mississippi State covers as an underdog of 8.5 or more (never covered this season).
- Against the spread, the Crimson Tide have played worse at home, covering seven times in 13 home games, and six times in 10 road games.
- In 2024-25 against the spread, the Bulldogs have a lower winning percentage at home (.385, 5-8-0 record) than on the road (.556, 5-4-0).
- Alabama is 9-5-0 against the spread in conference games this year.
- Mississippi State's SEC record against the spread is 5-9-0.
Alabama vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Alabama has won in 18, or 81.8%, of the 22 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
- This season, the Crimson Tide have come away with a win 15 times in 16 chances when named as a favorite of at least -365 or shorter on the moneyline.
- Mississippi State has gone 2-2 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 50% of those games).
- The Bulldogs have not played a game this season with moneyline odds of +285 or longer.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Alabama has a 78.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Alabama vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison
- Alabama is outscoring opponents by 10.4 points per game with a +281 scoring differential overall. It puts up 90.8 points per game (first in college basketball) and allows 80.4 per outing (351st in college basketball).
- Mark Sears leads Alabama, scoring 18.9 points per game (44th in the country).
- Mississippi State outscores opponents by 7.4 points per game (posting 79.3 points per game, 58th in college basketball, and giving up 71.9 per outing, 184th in college basketball) and has a +200 scoring differential.
- Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State, recording 17.8 points per game (82nd in college basketball).
- The Crimson Tide win the rebound battle by 7.5 boards on average. They collect 39.8 rebounds per game, which ranks second in college basketball, while their opponents grab 32.3 per contest.
- Grant Nelson's 7.9 rebounds per game lead the Crimson Tide and rank 66th in college basketball play.
- The Bulldogs are 25th in the country at 35.9 rebounds per game. That's 3.8 more than the 32.1 their opponents average.
- KeShawn Murphy is 106th in college basketball with 7.5 rebounds per game, leading the Bulldogs.
- Alabama ranks 20th in college basketball with 104.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 160th in college basketball defensively with 92.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
- The Bulldogs rank 86th in college basketball averaging 99.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 111th, allowing 90.4 points per 100 possessions.
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