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4 FanDuel NFL Values to Target in Divisional Round

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Finding value is a key part of daily fantasy football on FanDuel. We need to identify the low-salary players who have the potential to pay huge dividends, which allows you to play studs elsewhere in your lineup.

Within this article, we'll be looking at players for the Divisional Round main slates on Saturday and Sunday. Saturday's main slate kicks off at 4:30 p.m. ET, and Sunday's main slate kicks off at 3 p.m. ET.

All betting odds come from the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook

NFL DFS Value Plays

Baker Mayfield, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

FanDuel Salary: ($7,300)

Baker Mayfield had a positive matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles in the Wild Card Round, and he responded by airing it out for 337 yards and three touchdowns. The signal-caller for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers has another favorable matchup in the Divisional Round against the Detroit Lions.

Mayfield owns the lowest salary on the Sunday main slate and the second-lowest salary among all quarterbacks this weekend. The Lions are giving up the most air yards per attempt (9.26), the third-most expected points added per drop back (0.04), and the fifth-most FanDuel points allowed per drop back (0.48) to quarterbacks, via NextGenStats.

Despite losing the game, Matthew Stafford registered 367 yards and two touchdowns versus the Lions on Wild Card Weekend. Meanwhile, Mayfield is tallying the ninth-most intended air yards per attempt (8.6) among quarterbacks, and he's logged 280-plus yards and multiple touchdowns in four of his last five games.

The impending matchup between the Buccaneers and the Lions has the second-highest projected total (48.5) in the Divisional Round. We'll want exposure to both offenses in this potential high-scoring contest, and Tampa Bay's offense is humming along smoothly with Mayfield at the controls.

Justice Hill, RB, Baltimore Ravens

FanDuel Salary: ($5,300)

Since rookie Keaton Mitchell suffered a season-ending knee injury against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 15, Justice Hill has seen an increased role for the Baltimore Ravens. In the final three weeks of the regular season, Hill led the running backs of the Ravens in snap share (50.3%), route participation (53.3%), and adjusted opportunities per game (16.3).

While Gus Edwards is going to receive the lion's share of the rushing attempts and goal-line touches, Hill has a notable role in the passing game. Hill has averaged 10.3 FanDuel points in his last three appearances, which is only 0.1 FanDuel points fewer than Edwards in that span.

Among teams remaining in the postseason, the Texans have surrendered the most receptions (91) and the second-most receiving yards (613) to running backs. To add on to that, the Texans are also allowing the second-most yards per route run (YPRR) to running backs (1.12).

Considering Houston's woes against pass-catching running backs, Hill could see solid usage in Baltimore's offense on Saturday.

Josh Reynolds, WR, Detroit Lions

FanDuel Salary: ($6,100)

When speaking about the aerial attack of the Lions, all of the focus is centered on Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta -- and deservedly so. At the same time, Josh Reynolds has continued to be an underrated piece in Detroit's revamped passing game in recent years.

The veteran wideout is producing the third-highest route participation (75.2%), the third-highest weighted target share (13.9%), the second-highest end-zone target share (31.8%), and the second-highest average depth of target (10.7) on the Lions. In the Wild Card matchup against the Los Angeles Rams, Reynolds hauled in five of his seven targets for 80 yards.

Reynolds has now garnered seven targets in back-to-back games with the Lions having their sights set on making a deep push in the playoffs. On the other hand, the Buccaneers are permitting the second-most YPRR (1.75) and FanDuel points per target (1.45) to wide receivers among the last eight teams in the postseason race.

While everyone tries to fit in the high-salary pass catchers from the Buccaneers and Lions, Reynolds can help save salary and give us exposure to a potentially high-scoring affair.

Cade Otton, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

FanDuel Salary: ($5,300)

Despite Tampa Bay having talented receivers like Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, it was Cade Otton who led the Buccaneers in targets (11), receptions (8), and receiving yards (89) against the Eagles in the Wild Card Round. The young tight end proved to be a reliable option for Mayfield, and he could carry over his success into Sunday's showdown with the Lions.

Of the remaining teams in the playoffs, Detroit's defense is allowing the second-highest average depth of target (7.1) and the second-most FanDuel points per target (1.39) to tight ends. The Lions are 30th in schedule-adjusted pass defense and eighth in run defense, via numberFire's metrics.

Detroit has a pass-funnel defense, and Tampa Bay will likely once again lean on Mayfield to throw it often. Otton owns the third-highest red-zone target share (19.4%) on the Buccaneers, and he's on the field regularly with a team-high 96.2% snap share.

In a game between two defenses that dare opposing teams to put the ball in the air, Otton is a fantastic salary-saving option at the tight end position.


If you're betting on any of Saturday, January 20th's NFL playoff action, you can take advantage of FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL Playoffs No-Sweat Same Game Parlay. Check the promotions page for more information.

Interested in playing NFL DFS? Head over to FanDuel’s daily fantasy football lobby to see all the offerings for this week's slates.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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