3 NFL Player Prop Bets for Monday Night Football: Week 11, Eagles at Chiefs

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy football on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Utilizing numberFire's projections as a guide, here are some NFL player props bets that look appealing.

Please note that betting lines and numberFire's game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. Also, the weather may be an issue in some locations.

Patrick Mahomes Over 37.5 Passing Attempts (-118)

Week 11 of the NFL season ends on a high note with the Kansas City Chiefs hosting the Philadelphia Eagles.

A close 2.5-point spread in favor of the home Chiefs and a 46.5-point over/under set the stage for two of the best teams in the NFL. The TD scorer market isn't my favorite tonight, so let's jump into three props that are correlated for this game.

The Eagles have been elite against the running game this season, allowing just 66.3 rushing yards per game, which is the best in the NFL. If the Chiefs aren't able to move the ball on the ground, it means a big game for Patrick Mahomes is on the way.

The Chiefs come in with a 60.90% pass play percentage, which is the seventh-highest in the league, which is nearly identical to the 61% and 62% pass rates they had over the last two seasons. They have the best quarterback in the league, it makes sense to keep the ball in his hands.

Mahomes has been over this mark in six of his nine games this season, hitting 40 passing attempts in four of those games.

With a stout run defense, the Chiefs should be moving the ball in the passing game, giving Mahomes plenty of time to rack up the attempts.

Isiah Pacheco Under 48.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Under 48.5 rushing yards for Isiah Pacheco is the next spot to look.

The strong Eagles' run defense has already been laid out above, putting Pacheco in a very tough matchup.

He's been under this mark in two of his last four games and is averaging 58 rushing yards per game this season. By no means is he flying over 48.5 rushing yards on an every-game basis, he gets there on efficiency rather than volume.

Pacheco is averaging just over 13 rush attempts per game but piles up 4.2 yards per attempt. After all, the Chiefs are a pass-first team with the 60.90% pass play percentage noted above.

The league's toughest run defense will keep Pacheco in check, pushing the Chiefs to the passing game, which correlates with the Mahomes prop above.

Rashee Over 17.5 Yards Longest Reception (-114)

Finally, attacking the Eagles in the passing game continues to be a route to success this season.

The Eagles have allowed 1,808 receiving yards to wide receivers this season, which is the ninth-worst in the league. They are in the bottom 10 of the league and have played one or two fewer games than the other teams, which should tell you enough.

Looking back at just their last three games, they've allowed long receptions of 23, 26, 26, 27, 29, 29, 32, and 40 yards. This has been a trend for them throughout the season and it puts Rashee Rice in a fantastic matchup tonight.

On the year, Rice has played on 45.9% of the snaps and ran a route on 44.3% of dropbacks. However, that doesn't tell the entire story, as those rates have jumped to 63.3% and 62.1% over their last three games. He's being utilized in the offense more and more as the season has gone on.

Rice has broken off long receptions of 25, 28, 37, and 39 yards this season, showing he has the propensity to pile up the yards. He does so with 263 yards after reception, which is the 25th most in the NFL.

Between the matchup and his role, Rice is primed for a big game tonight.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.