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3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Tuesday 10/31/23

Annie Nader
Annie Nader•@ANader33

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3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Tuesday 10/31/23

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Russell Westbrook Over 27.5 Pts + Reb + Ast (-118)

Tonight's Los Angeles Clippers game should be an interesting one.

Earlier this morning, the Clippers front office threw caution to the wind and made a blockbuster deal to acquire James Harden. How this trade will impact the team as a whole is a story for a different time, but how it will impact tonight's game, and more importantly, player props, is pertinent.

In the Harden trade, the Clippers sent away three players (Nicolas Batum, Robert Covington, and Kenyon Martin Jr.) that were seeing decent time on the court. Terance Mann remains out with an ankle injury while Ivica Zubac and Norman Powell are both questionable for tonight's matchup against the Orlando Magic.

The team is fairly short-staffed, which may mean it is Russell Westbrook time.

Westbrook is averaging 11.3 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 6.7 assists through three games this season. This 25.3 PRA is a bit lower than where we need him to be tonight, but he should see more opportunity to impact the game -- especially if he briefly fills the starting role that left with Robert Covington.

Last season, Westbrook averaged 29.2 PRA on the season and 28.3 PRA in 21 games with the Clippers. I imagine his role on the team will look similar to these numbers tonight even if fleeting.

The Orlando Magic should pose as a decent matchup for Westbrook.

Though the Magic have held opponents to 96.3 points per game this season (least), the three-game sample is all too misleading; two of these games were against the Houston Rockets and the Portland Trail Blazers (numberFire ranks these teams at 29th and 27th, respectively), and all three games came against teams that are ranked in the bottom 12 of offensive efficiency.

The Clippers, meanwhile, are ranked second in offensive efficiency, and the fairly juicy 220.0-point game total should see to that the Magic play more like the team that finished 18th in defensive rating last season.

Westbrook played two games against Orlando last season, and he averaged 14.5 points, 11.0 assists, and 9.0 rebounds for a total 34.5 PRA average. Look for him to make one last splash before his brethren in stat-padding shows up to the team.

Mitchell Robinson Over 15.5 Pts + Reb (+100)

Mitchell Robinson can occasionally be too fickle for comfort, but I like his chances to get a few buckets and enough rebounds against the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight.

After getting into foul trouble and failing to surpass more than seven minutes of second half play in the Knicks season opener, Robinson averaged 21.5 PR in the two games that followed.

Last year, he averaged 16.8 PR per game -- plus the Cavs should prove to be a decent matchup for him. In three games, they are allowing the fifth-most points and sixth-most rebounds to centers.

These numbers weren't any better last year; Cleveland gave up the second-most rebounds and third-most points per game to centers in the 2022-2023 season, paving the path for Robinson to average 17.0 PR in three games against them.

It should be noted that he only played 25.7 minutes per game in this split while he's averaging 29.7 minutes so far this season, so perhaps, he could do even more tonight against a team that makes big sacrifices to his position.

Josh Okogie Over 9.5 Points (-102)
Grayson Allen Over 11.5 Points (-106)

It would feel wrong not to side with a Phoenix Suns player in the points department tonight.

Bradley Beal remains out with a back injury while Devin Booker is doubtful with a foot injury. The absence of these two naturally creates more shot opportunities for other players, but what will be even more advantageous to siding with the Suns is their competition for the night: the San Antonio Spurs.

Last season, the Spurs gave up more points per game than any other team in the league. This year has been more of the same; they've given up a whopping average of 123.7 points through three games (second-most in the NBA).

Based on this, I think we should see some Phoenix players score above their pay grade tonight, it's just a matter of choosing the right ones.

To start, I'd target Josh Okogie to score 10 points. Amidst offseason moves, Okogie worked his way up the Phoenix depth chart to become a starter, but given the Beal, Booker, and Kevin Durant of it all, he likely wouldn't be your typical high-scoring candidate, but he is more than capable of scoring 10 -- especially with Beal and Booker out.

Through three games, Okogie is averaging 11.3 points per game. In 26 games started last season, he averaged 10.7 points.

He is averaging 29 minutes per game so far this season, and there's no clear reason why he wouldn't hit this minutes mark tonight. Last year, Okogie played 28-plus minutes in 20 games, and he scored 10 or more points in all but two of these games.

This is enough evidence for me to side with Okogie tonight, but it doesn't hurt that the Spurs have been giving up 109.8 points per game to forwards (most in the NBA). The second-worst team has given up 84.9 points per game to this position.

The second Suns player I'd keep my eye out for is Grayson Allen.

He's not the most exciting player to target, especially considering how often he can go missing. He scored zero points in the Phoenix season opener, so siding with him just three games later may feel wrong, but he was 0-5 from the three-point line in that game, a performance I am categorizing as an outlier.

Allen bounced back in his most recent game, scoring 17 points and going 3-7 from behind the arc. With Booker still out, Allen should continue to see more looks on the offensive end.

Luckily for him, the Spurs gave up the highest three-point percentage last season and have given up the fifth-most three-point attempts thus far this season.

In two Booker-less games so far, Allen has averaged 11.5 points on 33 minutes. Last season, he averaged 13.7 points per 36 minutes on a stacked Milwaukee Bucks team. He should thrive on a short-staffed club with a 116.25-point implied team total tonight.


Looking for the latest NBA odds? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out all of the NBA betting options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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