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3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Thursday 2/29/24

Annie Nader
Annie Nader•@ANader33

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Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using FanDuel Research's daily basketball projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- as a guide, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note: lines and projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

Dejounte Murray Over 31.5 Pts + Ast (-102)

Trae Young (finger) is out for the Atlanta Hawks, which means we could have a huge Dejounte Murray game on tap.

Murray has been awesome when he gets the chance to play without Young. This season, he has played in seven contests without his fellow starting backcourt teammate. In this span, he has averaged a whopping 34.2 combined points and assists (PA).

Seven games does not offer us a resounding sample size, but a look at on/off court stats further proves that Murray is a monster on the stat sheet sans Young.

When sharing the court with Young, Murray averages 23.9 PA per 36 minutes. But when Young is on the bench, Murray is accumulating 33.5 PA per 36 minutes.

And when it comes to Murray, any per 36-minute metrics are pretty on the money. He averages 34.9 minutes each game but plays 36.7 minutes when Young is out of the lineup.

This past Tuesday, the market had Murray's PA line set at 33.5. Murray recorded 11 dimes in this game but failed to exceed 33.5 PA after shooting 36.8% from the field and 16.7% from behind the arc.

Now, we're getting Murray's PA line at a much friendlier number, and there's reason to believe he won't put up poor shooting percentages in this matchup against the Brooklyn Nets.

Since the start of 2024, Brooklyn has been allowing guards to shoot the three-ball at the league's eighth-best clip.

On the season, the Nets have surrendered the fifth-most points per game to point guards, as well as the most three-point makes (3PM). Murray nets 31.0% of his points from behind the arc and should have a lot to show in this game.

Draymond Green Over 15.5 Pts + Reb (+102)

The Golden State Warriors will take on the New York Knicks for the first game of an NBA on TNT doubleheader.

It seems Draymond Green's combined points and rebounds (PR) could be one of the more undervalued props on today's slate.

This season, Green is averaging 16.1 PR. He has exceeded 15.5 PR in 17 of his 33 games (51.5% of contests), so we are getting kinder-than-should-be odds at +102 (49.5% implied probability).

But Green has played in a few low-minute games, mainly due to his status as the league leader in ejections. If we account for games where Green played at least 20 minutes (he averages 26.6 minutes per game), he is clearing 15.5 PR at a 58.6% clip.

The Knicks are a tough matchup, boasting the league's 11th-best defensive rating.

However, they have let up the fourth-most points to power forwards across their last 15 games. In this same split, New York has ceded the second-most 3PM, while Green scores 36.2% of his points from behind the arc.

Andrew Wiggins (personal) is out for Golden State in this one. Green has played in four Wiggins-less contests this season and averaged 20.0 PR in that span.

Not only does Green make a bigger impact with Wiggins out, but it could force him into additional playing time, especially with this 4.5-point spread.

Josh Hart Over 13.5 Reb + Ast (-128)

I may sound like a broken record by continually targeting Josh Hart's rebound or combined rebounds and assists (RA) prop, but the market has remained stagnant on Hart's line.

For context, the Knicks have been without starters Julius Randle and OG Anunoby since the tail end of January.

In turn, Hart has exceeded 13.5 RA in 13 of his last 14 games. He's been playing a towering 38.9 minutes per game in this split.

The one instance in which Hart failed to record over 13.5 RA came at the hands of the Orlando Magic. Hart played just 30 minutes in this blowout loss, while he has played at least 36 minutes in every other Randle and Anunoby-less game.

Further, this contest was the final game before the All-Star break, and the Knicks looked like they were ready to go on vacation. Additionally, the Magic surrender the fewest assists and the second-fewest rebounds in the NBA.

Not to make an excuse for Hart, but it makes sense that these circumstances led to a below-average game, and he's eclipsed 13.5 RA in every other contest in the aforementioned split.

Now, he'll get a chance to make his mark against the Warriors. In Golden State's last 30 games, they've let up the 10th-most rebounds to small forwards. In their last 15 games, they've given up the seventh-most rebounds to this position.

Since the start of 2024, the Warriors have allowed opposing teams to record the 12th-most assists per game.

The 4.5-point spread gives credence to a competitive game environment, and this is a major pace-up game for New York. The Knicks play at the league's slowest pace, while the Warriors play at the 12th-fastest pace. I'm happy to side with Hart so long as he gives us every reason to do so.


Dive into the action with FanDuel Sportsbook's No Sweat Same Game Parlay for the upcoming Warriors vs Knicks or Heat vs Nuggets games on February 29th. See the promotions page for more information.

Looking for the latest NBA odds? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out all of the NBA betting options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

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