3 NBA Player Prop Bets for Monday 1/8/24

Player props can be useful in a variety of ways -- from taking advantage of them straight up to measuring a player's potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball on FanDuel. Here, we're going to focus on the former.

Using a wealth of statistical data, including numberFire's daily basketball projections, here are some NBA player prop bets that look appealing via the NBA odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

NBA Prop Bets

John Collins Over 18.5 Pts + Reb (-111)

John Collins is averaging 21.6 combined points and rebounds (PR) this season. He has eclipsed 18.5 PR in 27 of his 33 games, giving the over at this line a whopping 81.9% hit rate.

It seems erroneous that Collins' PR line is set this low when he is consistently surpassing it. Sure, his minutes are shakier than we would prefer, with him averaging just 22.8 minutes across his last four games despite being a starter for the Utah Jazz. But he has still been able to make an impact on the stat sheet across this span, averaging 22.1 PR and clearing 18.5 PR in all four of those games.

Tonight, he'll go up against the Milwaukee Bucks, which should prove to be a decent enough matchup for him. Milwaukee surrenders the 13th-most points per game and 10th-most rebounds to power forwards and the 11th-most points and 19th-most rebounds to centers. The Bucks also give up the fifth-most three-point makes (3PM) to centers, which could turn out great for Collins. He is netting 28.9% of his points from behind the arc.

Add in that Milwaukee is allowing the sixth-most paint points per game, which is where Collins tallies 52.6% of his points, and the avenues of scoring seem fairly clear.

Now, Collins is not a great defender, and considering that Utah will go up against Giannis Antetokounmpo, they could opt to go with another big man on defense at times, which would cut into Collins' minutes. But I am encouraged that he is averaging 22.1 PR across his last four despite seeing only 22.8 minutes on the floor. Plus, Collins has cleared this prop in his last two games against Giannis, averaging 23.5 PR in that sample.

Bam Adebayo Under 23.5 Points (-113)

A matchup between the Houston Rockets and Miami Heat grants us a modest 219.0 over/under and a point line that is set a tad too high for Bam Adebayo.

Adebayo is averaging 22.0 points per game, but if we take out a 12-minute contest in which he left early due to injury, that average reaches 22.6 points.

The Rockets enter the night with the league's fifth-best defensive rating and have a solid interior defense, allowing the fourth-fewest points to centers per game.

In five contests where Adebayo has gone up against teams that rank in the top 5 of fewest points allowed to centers, he is averaging just 19.4 points and did not score 24-plus in any of them.

Adebayo relies on the paint to net 56.1% of his points, but Houston surrenders the sixth-fewest paint points per game. I think Alperen Sengun will prove to be a limiting force against Adebayo tonight. In two career games versus Sengun, Adebayo has scored just 18 and 20 points.

Myles Turner Over 22.5 Pts + Reb (-122)

The Indiana Pacers and Boston Celtics will hit the repeat button on this past Saturday's matchup. These teams have faced off three times this season, with Boston seemingly the only team in the NBA that can stall this lightning-fast Pacers team.

However, since these teams are playing their second game against each other in three days and Boston is a worse team on the road, I think we should see Indiana give them a tougher time tonight, and Myles Turner can get in on the fun.

Turner is averaging 24.9 PR this season. He managed to average 30.6 PR in three games versus the Celtics last season, but a pair of blowouts this year has limited both Indiana and Turner's output against Boston.

numberFire is projecting this one to be quite close, forecasting the Celtics to walk away with a four-point victory. In one matchup this season where Indiana kept things close with Boston (10-point victory), Turner netted 27.0 PR.

Boston allows the third-most three-point attempts (3PA) per game. Turner scores 33.3% of his points from behind the arc and has drained four-plus threes in multiple games this season, so we could see him get some work done from downtown.

The Celtics are a fairly small team and can be prone to giving up a lot of production on the boards. They allow the seventh-most offensive rebounds per game, and Turner leads all Indiana players in offensive rebounds per game. Boston also surrenders the ninth-most putback points per game, so look for Turner to parlay offensive rebounds with buckets to buff up his PR line tonight.

Looking for the latest NBA odds? Head over to FanDuel Sportsbook and check out all of the NBA betting options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.