3 FanDuel MLB DFS Value Plays for Tuesday 5/28/24
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Finding low-salary production is one way to get a leg up on the competition in MLB DFS.
Here are some value plays to target on FanDuel for today's main slate.
Advanced statistics courtesy of FanGraphs. Betting lines via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook. Betting odds as well as our projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- may change after this article is published.
MLB DFS Value Plays
Hunter Brown, P, Astros ($7,400)
Rolling out starting pitchers against the Seattle Mariners has been a beneficial strategy in MLB DFS this season, and we can take a chance on Hunter Brown on Monday.
Brown has been far from consistent in 2024, giving up multiple earned runs in eight of his nine starts while recording career-worst marks in strikeout rate (21.8%) and swinging-strike rate (9.5%).
The good news for Brown is the fact the Mariners are logging the highest strikeout rate (28.7%) against right-handed pitching this year. Additionally, Seattle is posting the sixth-lowest wOBA (.298) and seventh-lowest SLG (.366) versus right-handed pitchers.
Brown has looked better in recent starts for the Houston Astros, and he's in the 84th percentile in barrel rate (4.5%) and 62nd percentile in hard-hit rate (36.8%). With a Coors game and high-salary stacks in advantageous spots on Tuesday's main slate, Brown could be a viable salary-saving option at pitcher.
Jarred Kelenic, OF, Braves ($2,500)
The unfortunate season-ending injury to Ronald Acuna Jr. paves the way for more playing time for other outfielders on the Atlanta Braves, including Jarred Kelenic. Kelenic has primarily operated as a platoon hitter versus right-handed pitching, and he'll face Jake Irvin of the Washington Nationals to begin Tuesday's contest.
Irvin has put together solid outings in recent appearances for the Nats, but he's permitting a .340 wOBA, 1.33 WHIP, and 1.23 HR/9 when facing left-handed hitters. On top of that, Irvin is sitting in the 22nd percentile in xERA (4.73), 15th percentile in barrel rate (10.2%), and 12th percentile in hard-hit rate (45.5%).
At the same time, Kelenic is registering a formidable .315 wOBA and 103 wRC+ against right-handed pitchers in 2024. Kelenic has 18-plus FanDuel points in two of his last four games, and it's only a matter of time before he records his first stolen base of the campaign as he ranks in the 73rd percentile in sprint speed (28.0 FPS).
Austin Wells, C, Yankees ($2,400)
Austin Wells hasn't gotten off to the start he was hoping for to begin the season, but there are reasons for optimism moving forward. The young catcher for the New York Yankees is tallying just a .268 wOBA and 74 wRC+ in his first 32 games.
That being said, Wells leads the Yankees in the biggest difference between his wOBA and xwOBA (-0.085) and SLG and xSLG (-0.157), suggesting he's been unlucky at the plate up to this point. The turnaround could begin on Tuesday for Wells in a matchup versus Griffin Canning, who is sporting a forgettable 5.05 SIERA and 5.15 xFIP.
Besides Canning allowing a .399 wOBA, 1.71 WHIP, and .561 SLG to left-handed batters, he is in the sixth percentile in average exit velocity (91.4 MPH), 18th percentile in barrel rate (9.8%), and 30th percentile in hard-hit rate (41.7%).
Hitting ahead of Anthony Volpe, Juan Soto, and Aaron Judge also gives Wells a boost if he's confirmed in the lineup.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.