3 College Basketball Prop Bets for Wednesday 2/14/24

College basketball season is in full swing, and FanDuel Sportsbook offers prop bets for key games to dive deeper in the action.

For bettors, numberFire's Matchup Heat Map helps identify favorable game environments, while KenPom and Sports-Reference offer a wide range of team-level statistics. Then, we can turn to Bart Torvik and RealGM for advanced player stats and splits.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and dive into our wealth of statistical data to find today's best prop bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Prop Bets

Michigan State Spartans at Penn State Nittany Lions

A.J. Hoggard Over 12.5 Points (-115)

After going 3-1 over their last four games -- including a top-25 win over Illinois -- coach Tom Izzo has Michigan State rolling at the perfect time with the postseason rapidly approaching. Despite being unranked, the Spartans are now up to 15th in KenPom's rating. The offense could be poised for a big game with Penn State ranking 109th in KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency.

The Nittany Lions' interior defense has been a clear problem as they rank in the bottom 14% of made two-pointers allowed per game and in opponent two-point percentage. Michigan State excels when shooting close twos with a 66.3% field goal percentage (FG%), which ranks in the 95th percentile. However, the Spartans do not take enough looks around the rim with only 32.8% of their field goal attempts labeled as close twos.

MSU could get more points in the paint than usual against Penn State, though. This could spell success for A.J. Hoggard, who ranks third on the team with 11.7 PPG and is averaging 13.4 PPG over his last five games. Hoggard also comes off a season-high 23 points. His field goal attempts are typically of the two-point variety as he has taken only four three-point shots in the last four games, and Hoggard takes 35.8% of his shots at the rim (second-best most among starters).

Considering Hoggard's recent success and his ability to score in the paint, I like Michigan State's guard to reach at least 13 points thanks to the Nittany Lions' weak interior defense.

No. 11 South Carolina Gamecocks at No. 13 Auburn Tigers

B.J. Mack Under 11.5 Points (+100)

B.J. Mack, who ranks second on South Carolina with 13.6 PPG while leading the team with a 28.4% usage rate, comes off an 18-point outing and has reached 16 points in three of his last five contests. However, Mack will be tasked with one of his most difficult challenges of the season against Auburn.

The Tigers have an elite defensive frontcourt with Johni Broome and Jaylin Williams. According to EvanMiya, Broome has the second-best Defensive Bayesian Performance Rating (DBPR) in the nation at 4.55, and Williams touts an impressive DBPR of 2.21 (16th-best in the SEC). This also reflects on Auburn's paint defense as they rank in the 99th percentile of opponent two-point percentage and the 90th percentile in made twos allowed per contest.

Broome and Williams' stingy interior defense could take away a large chunk of Mack's scoring. Additionally, he shot 5 of 9 from three (55.6%) in his last game, but this doesn't seem sustainable with Mack shooting 31.3% from deep on the season. The Tigers also hold opponents to only 30.1% from beyond the arc (93rd percentile).

Even following an 18-point game, I'm not a fan of Mack for tonight's must-see clash. With the +100 odds, I like Mack to go under 12 points.

No. 11 South Carolina Gamecocks at No. 13 Auburn Tigers

Johni Broome To Record 10+ Rebounds (+176)

Since transferring from Morehead State following the 2022 season, Johni Broome has become one of the best frontcourt players in the land. He has the chance to prove this once again in a massive matchup against No. 11 South Carolina. Along with his ability to defend -- which could frustrate the Gamecocks' B.J. Mack -- Broome has been an elite rebounder.

In fact, the junior forward leads the SEC with a 26.4% defensive rebounding percentage and ranks fourth among qualifying players in the conference with an 11.3% offensive rebounding percentage. Broome could have a big advantage on the offensive glass as Auburn is in the 91st percentile of offensive rebounding percentage while South Carolina has only one player with a defensive rebounding percentage that eclipses 16.0% (Mack at 17.8%).

At 6-foot-10, Broome also has a slight size advantage over the Gamecocks' starting frontcourt: Mack (6-foot-8) and Collin Murray-Boyles (6-foot-7). It's not that rare for Broome to reach double-digit rebounds, as well, as he's done so in 9 of 24 games this season.

Taking over 8.5 rebounds for Broome (+102) seems like a sound bet, but I'm taking it a step further with Auburn's star forward reaching 10 rebounds. He's dominant on the offensive glass and faces a mediocre defensive rebounding team while having a slight size advantage.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.