3 Best MLB Strikeout Prop Bets for Friday 4/4/25

Within a given MLB slate, there are tons of strikeout props to sort through as there are lines posted for most of the day's starting pitchers.

Across today's action, which seem to present the best value in FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB betting odds?

We're going to dig into that today, laying out my favorite strikeout props across all the action. You can also do some research of your own by digging into our MLB player prop projections.

On top of that, FanDuel Sportsbook has a special offer for users betting on select pitching props!

How to Claim This Promo

You can claim this promo by signing into your FanDuel Sportsbook account and clicking the “Claim Now” button.

You’ll then be given a 30% Profit Boost Token to use on a “Player Strikeouts" Over/Under wager on any MLB game(s) taking place on April 4th!

See full terms at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's Best MLB K Props

Please note lines and MLB projections are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Seth Lugo Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-126)

Seth Lugo is a bit of an odd duck. Although his 3.00 ERA last year is unsustainable, he is still somehow -- in my eyes -- underrated by the market. I think that translates to his strikeout prop today.

For the full season, Lugo's SIERA was 3.94. It was that high due to a middling 21.7% strikeout rate and non-elite batted-ball data.

That strikeout rate did increase as the year went along, though. He started throwing more changeups, a pitch that generated a respectable 29.1% whiff rate, according to Baseball Savant. Over 18 starts with more changeups, Lugo's strikeout rate is up a smidge to 22.4%.

Today, he'll face a Baltimore Orioles lineup with a slightly above average 22.9% strikeout rate against righties on their current active roster since the start of last year. When you combine that with Lugo's elevated pitch count (he threw 86 in his first start) and his uptick in whiffs, I've got Lugo projected for 5.87 strikeouts. Pitchers in that range have gone over 4.5 at a rate of 59.3%, implying there's value in the over.

Spencer Schwellenbach Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-130)

Even as someone who really likes Spencer Schwellenbach, I can't get to a number this high.

Schwellenbach has been tremendous since his promotion last year. He has a 3.19 ERA and 3.42 SIERA, both of which improved as he threw six shutout innings against the San Diego Padres last week.

The strikeout number here just feels lofty. Schwellenbach has gone over 6.5 strikeouts in only 9 of those 22 starts. That's not a negative, by any means; it's just a big mark.

Against the Miami Marlins, I have Schwellenbach projected for 6.08 strikeouts. Pitchers projected in that range have gone under 6.5 at a rate of 64.8%, forcing me to take the under despite really liking Schwellenbach's game overall.

Max Meyer Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-113)

On the other side of that game, we get the third overall pick in the 2020 draft, Max Meyer. Meyer's coming off the best game of his MLB career, and I like his chances to go over 4.5 strikeouts tonight.

Last week's debut came against an underwhelming Pittsburgh Pirates lineup. Still, he had seven strikeouts there, tying his career high. He did it on 93 pitches, meaning he's fully stretched out.

Meyer gets a high-strikeout matchup tonight. The Atlanta Braves' active roster is at 24.2% since the start of last year, the fifth highest mark in that span. Some of those are thanks to Meyer, who had seven strikeouts in both starts against them in 2024.

I'm not all that high on Meyer. I've got him projected at 4.90 strikeouts. But the over rate in that range is 55.9%, enough for me to bite at a forgiving -113.

New to FanDuel Sportsbook? You’ll receive $200 in Bonus Bets if your first $5+ bet wins! See here for full terms and conditions. Learn about today’s other offers at FanDuel Sportsbook Promos.

Which strikeout props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB betting odds to see the full menu of options.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.

Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit RG-help.com. Call 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT). Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).
21+ (18+ D.C. & PR) and present in select states (for KS, in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino). If playing causes you financial, family and occupational problems, call the ASSMCA PAS line at 1-800-981-0023 (PR). Opt in req. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable profit boost tokens. Must wager in designated offer market. Restrictions apply, including any token expiration and max wager amount. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com.