3 Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets for Monday 8/25/23

Across all of sports, few things are more exciting than the long ball.

That translates to the prop market, too, where each crack of the bat can get our heart pumping.

Which home run props stand out for today's MLB action?

Utilizing our MLB home run projections as a guiding light, here are some MLB home run props bets that look appealing via the MLB odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Please note that betting lines and our MLB projections may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Today's Best Home Run Props

Gunnar Henderson to Hit a Home Run (+500)

It's been a funky season for Baltimore Orioles star Gunnar Henderson, but I like his long home run odds today.

After posting a .381 wOBA and 37 dingers in 2024, Henderson's numbers have fallen across the board this campaign. With that said, he's still got a .354 wOBA, and he's mashing right-handed pitching to the tune of a .394 wOBA and 45.8% hard-hit rate. On top of that, he's much better at home (.389 wOBA) than on the road (.320). At home against RHP, he's produced a massive .449 wOBA.

He'll see a lefty in his first plate appearance as the Boston Red Sox are having Brennan Bernardino open. Then it's expected to be righty Richard Fitts, who has allowed seven bombs in just 25.1 innings away from home while permitting 1.69 homers per nine innings to lefties.

In addition to all that, the wind is blowing out to right at 8 MPH.

Julio Rodriguez to Hit a Home Run (+340)

Julio Rodriguez gets an advantageous matchup versus southpaw JP Sears, and that puts me on Julio to go yard.

For the season, Sears owns a 4.51 SIERA and 19.8% strikeout rate. He's surrendered a career-worst 1.84 jacks per nine while righties have hammered him for a 52.8% fly-ball rate.

Enter Rodriguez.

J-Rod has been on fire after a sluggish first couple months and has registered a .375 wOBA in the second half. Overall in 2025, he's put up a .352 wOBA against left-handers, notching 10 long-balls in 152 plate appearances in the split.

i'm taking Julio to send one into the seats tonight.

Colt Keith to Hit a Home Run (+520)

Although there are some intriguing numbers in righty J.T. Ginn's profile, he draws a tough matchup today against the Detroit Tigers, and I like Colt Keith to hit a home run.

Keith does his best work against righties, generating a .356 wOBA, 38.2% hard-hit rate and 40.8% fly-ball rate in the split. All 11 of his homers have come with the platoon advantage, and although Keith is at risk of being pulled for a pinch-hitter if he sees a lefty later in the game, I really like this matchup with Ginn, who is getting mauled by lefty bats for a .446 wOBA and 2.77 dingers per nine.

Sutter Health Park plays a huge role in this, too. The A's temporary home stadium is a park-factor boost for the Tigers as Sutter is playing as the second-best park for offense. Ginn has had no answers when pitching at home, allowing 2.89 homers per nine and a .400 wOBA.

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Which home run props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB betting odds to see the full menu of options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.