Youngstown State vs Purdue Fort Wayne Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Horizon League Tournament

The No. 4 seed Youngstown State Penguins (19-12, 13-7 Horizon League) will hit the court in the Horizon League tournament against the No. 5 seed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (19-12, 12-8 Horizon League), Thursday at 7 p.m. ET live on ESPN+.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Youngstown State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Thursday, March 6, 2025
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Youngstown, Ohio
• Arena: Beeghly Center

Before you bet on Thursday's Youngstown State-Purdue Fort Wayne spread (Youngstown State -1.5) or over/under (154.5 points), read the betting insights and trends below.

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Youngstown State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Youngstown State has compiled a 15-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• Purdue Fort Wayne has compiled a 17-12-0 ATS record so far this year.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2024-25, Purdue Fort Wayne is 4-4 against the spread compared to the 9-9 ATS record Youngstown State racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• The Penguins have done a better job covering the spread in away games (9-6-0) than they have at home (5-7-0).
• The Mastodons' winning percentage against the spread at home is .583 (7-5-0). Away, it is .600 (9-6-0).
• Youngstown State has 10 wins against the spread in 20 conference games this season.
• Against the spread in Horizon League action, Purdue Fort Wayne is 10-10-0 this season.

Youngstown State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Youngstown State has been victorious in 12, or 66.7%, of the 18 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• This season, the Penguins have been victorious 11 times in 16 chances when named as a favorite of at least -130 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Purdue Fort Wayne has been the moneyline underdog eight total times this season. Purdue Fort Wayne has finished 1-7 in those games.
• The Mastodons have a 1-6 record (winning just 14.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +108 or longer.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Youngstown State has a 56.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Youngstown State vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Head-to-Head Comparison

• Youngstown State has a +157 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.1 points per game. It is putting up 77.2 points per game to rank 96th in college basketball and is giving up 72.1 per outing to rank 186th in college basketball.
• EJ Farmer leads Youngstown State, scoring 15 points per game (263rd in college basketball).
• Purdue Fort Wayne outscores opponents by 6.5 points per game (posting 81.2 points per game, 30th in college basketball, and giving up 74.7 per outing, 263rd in college basketball) and has a +200 scoring differential.
• Jalen Jackson's 19.2 points per game paces Purdue Fort Wayne and ranks 32nd in the nation.
• The Penguins record 33.3 rebounds per game (98th in college basketball) while conceding 32.1 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.2 boards per game.
• Nico Galette averages 7.1 rebounds per game (ranking 156th in college basketball) to lead the Penguins.
• The Mastodons grab 27.6 rebounds per game (347th in college basketball) while conceding 34 per outing to opponents. They are outrebounded by 6.4 boards per game.
• Eric Mulder is 181st in the nation with 6.9 rebounds per game, leading the Mastodons.
• Youngstown State's 96.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 161st in college basketball, and the 90.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 100th in college basketball.
• The Mastodons average 103.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (30th in college basketball), and allow 95.1 points per 100 possessions (228th in college basketball).

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