Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for AL Wild Card Game 1 on Sept. 29

Odds updated as of 2:11 a.m.

The MLB slate on Tuesday includes the New York Yankees facing the Boston Red Sox for Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series.

Here's everything you need to know before checking out today's MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Yankees vs Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees (93-68) vs. Boston Red Sox (87-75)
• Date: Tuesday, September 29, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: Yankee Stadium -- The Bronx, New York
• Coverage: NBC/Peacock

Yankees vs Red Sox Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: NYY: (-142) | BOS: (+120)
• Spread: NYY: -1.5 (+164) | BOS: +1.5 (-200)
• Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)

Yankees vs Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Cam Schlittler (Yankees) - 14-6, 1.95 ERA vs Payton Tolle (Red Sox) - 9-6, 3.03 ERA

The probable pitchers are Cam Schlittler (14-6, 1.95 ERA) for the Yankees and Payton Tolle (9-6, 3.03 ERA) for the Red Sox. Schlittler and his team have a record of 19-13-0 against the spread when he starts. Schlittler's team is 19-10 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite. The Red Sox have an 11-14-0 record against the spread in Tolle's starts. The Red Sox have a 2-5 record in Tolle's seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.

Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (64.8%)

Yankees vs Red Sox Moneyline

• Boston is a +120 underdog on the moneyline, while New York is a -142 favorite at home.

Yankees vs Red Sox Spread

• The Red Sox are at the Yankees, and are +1.5 on the runline. The Red Sox are +164 to cover the spread, and the Yankees are -200.

Yankees vs Red Sox Over/Under

• The Yankees-Red Sox game on Sept. 29 has been given an over/under of 6.5 runs. The over is set at -104 and the under at -118.

Bet on New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox on FanDuel today!

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Trends

• The Yankees have been victorious in 74, or 60.2%, of the 123 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
• This season New York has come away with a win 45 times in 73 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 on the moneyline.
• Contests with the Yankees have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 75 of 156 chances this season.
• The Yankees are 81-75-0 against the spread in their 156 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Red Sox have been the moneyline underdog 47 total times this season. They've finished 23-24 in those games.
• Boston is 6-12 (winning just 33.3% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline underdog of +120 or longer.
• The Red Sox have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 159 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 70 of those games (70-87-2).
• The Red Sox have covered 47.2% of their games this season, going 75-84-0 ATS.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Ben Rice leads New York with 151 hits and an OBP of .363, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .534. He's batting .264.
• Among all qualified hitters, he is 50th in batting average, his on-base percentage ranks 24th, and he is third in slugging.
• Rice hopes to build on a two-game hitting streak in this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with a double, two home runs, three walks and two RBIs.
• Luis Garcia is batting .277 with 26 doubles, five triples, 30 home runs and 25 walks. He's slugging .521 with an on-base percentage of .309.
• Among qualified hitters, his batting average ranks him 31st, his on-base percentage 108th, and his slugging percentage eighth.
• Garcia takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .167 with two walks and an RBI.
• Cody Bellinger is batting .264 with a .429 slugging percentage and 73 RBI this year.
• Jazz Chisholm has 19 home runs, 55 RBI and a batting average of .231 this season.

Red Sox Player Leaders

• Wilyer Abreu is hitting .248 with 38 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 71 walks. He's slugging .446 with an on-base percentage of .327.
• Including all the qualifying hitters in MLB, his batting average places him 84th, his on-base percentage is 76th, and he is 50th in slugging.
• Caleb Durbin is batting .248 with 25 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 51 walks. He's slugging .378 with an on-base percentage of .332.
• Including all qualified players, his batting average places him 84th, his on-base percentage ranks 65th, and he is 111th in slugging.
• Willson Contreras has racked up an on-base percentage of .386 and has 123 hits, both team-high numbers for the Red Sox.
• Ceddanne Rafaela paces his team with a .442 slugging percentage.

Yankees vs Red Sox Head to Head

• 8/30/2026: 16-1 NYY (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +132)
• 8/29/2026: 9-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -140, Underdog Moneyline: +130)
• 8/29/2026: 6-0 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -110, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
• 8/28/2026: 1-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 6/28/2026: 5-4 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 6/27/2026: 4-1 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
• 6/26/2026: 6-1 BOS (Favorite: Red Sox, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -118, Underdog Moneyline: +100)
• 6/25/2026: 6-3 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -148, Underdog Moneyline: +126)
• 6/7/2026: 6-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -146, Underdog Moneyline: +124)
• 6/5/2026: 5-3 BOS (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)

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