Yankees vs Orioles Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for May 3

Odds updated as of 10:12 p.m.
The MLB slate on Sunday includes the New York Yankees taking on the Baltimore Orioles.
We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info regarding this matchup before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Yankees vs Orioles Game Info
- New York Yankees (22-11) vs. Baltimore Orioles (15-18)
- Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
- Time: 1:35 p.m. ET
- Venue: Yankee Stadium -- The Bronx, New York
- Coverage: YES and MASN
Yankees vs Orioles Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYY: (-210) | BAL: (+176)
- Spread: NYY: -1.5 (-108) | BAL: +1.5 (-111)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-122) | Under: (+100)
Yankees vs Orioles Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Max Fried (Yankees) - 4-1, 2.09 ERA vs Trey Gibson (Orioles) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA
The Yankees will give the nod to Max Fried (4-1, 2.09 ERA), who is eyeing win No. 5 on the season, and the Orioles will turn to Trey Gibson. Fried's team is 4-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season. Fried's team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-2. Gibson never pitched as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (75%)
Yankees vs Orioles Moneyline
- Baltimore is the underdog, +176 on the moneyline, while New York is a -210 favorite at home.
Yankees vs Orioles Spread
- The Yankees are hosting the Orioles and are favored by 1.5 runs on the spread. The Yankees are -108 to cover the runline, with the Orioles being -111.
Yankees vs Orioles Over/Under
- The over/under for Yankees-Orioles on May 3 is 8.5. The over is -122, and the under is +100.
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Yankees vs Orioles Betting Trends
- The Yankees have been victorious in 19, or 65.5%, of the 29 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
- New York has been listed as a favorite of -210 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
- The Yankees and their opponents have gone over in 13 of their 31 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Yankees are 18-13-0 against the spread in their 31 games that had a posted line this season.
- The Orioles have compiled a 3-9 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 25% of those games).
- Baltimore has not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +176 or longer.
- The Orioles have played in 33 games with a set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 22 times (22-11-0).
- The Orioles have a 14-19-0 record against the spread this season.
Yankees Player Leaders
- Ben Rice leads New York with 35 hits and an OBP of .447, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .717. He's batting .330.
- He is ninth in batting average, first in on-base percentage, and first in slugging among qualifying hitters in MLB.
- Rice will look for his fourth straight game with a hit in this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with two home runs, three walks and five RBIs.
- Aaron Judge is hitting .256 with five doubles, 12 home runs and 25 walks. He's slugging .607 with an on-base percentage of .396.
- He ranks 79th in batting average, 17th in on-base percentage and seventh in slugging in MLB.
- Cody Bellinger is batting .276 with a .483 slugging percentage and 20 RBI this year.
- Bellinger has picked up a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with four doubles, two home runs, a walk and six RBIs.
- Trent Grisham has five home runs, 18 RBI and a batting average of .168 this season.
- Grisham heads into this matchup on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
Orioles Player Leaders
- Taylor Ward has put up a team-best OBP (.428) and slugging percentage (.426). He's batting .295.
- Including all qualified players in the majors, he is 38th in batting average, third in on-base percentage and 76th in slugging percentage.
- Gunnar Henderson has six doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 12 walks while hitting .209. He's slugging .460 with an on-base percentage of .275.
- Including all qualified players, his batting average places him 150th, his on-base percentage ranks 159th, and he is 55th in slugging.
- Pete Alonso is hitting .205 with seven doubles, six home runs and 19 walks.
- Jeremiah Jackson has 27 hits to pace his team.
Yankees vs Orioles Head to Head
- 5/2/2026: 9-4 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -172, Underdog Moneyline: +144)
- 5/1/2026: 7-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -184, Underdog Moneyline: +154)
- 9/28/2025: 3-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -174, Underdog Moneyline: +146)
- 9/27/2025: 6-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -240, Underdog Moneyline: +198)
- 9/26/2025: 8-4 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
- 9/21/2025: 7-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 9/20/2025: 6-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -196, Underdog Moneyline: +164)
- 9/19/2025: 4-2 BAL (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -116, Underdog Moneyline: -102)
- 9/18/2025: 7-0 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -210, Underdog Moneyline: +176)
- 6/22/2025: 4-2 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9.5, Favorite Moneyline: -200, Underdog Moneyline: +168)
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