WNBA Best Bets and Player Props for Friday 7/12/24

The WNBA season is rolling along, and fans and bettors alike can get into the action on FanDuel Sportsbook.

The W's 40-game season offers a wide variety of betting options, including point spreads, moneylines, and totals. While there's a lot to sift through, advanced stats from the WNBA can help us find an edge in the betting market.

Let's dive into the WNBA odds on FanDuel Sportsbook and find today's best bets.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

WNBA Best Bets

Phoenix Mercury at Indiana Fever

Caitlin Clark Over 9.5 Assists (-110)

It's safe to say that Caitlin Clark is starting to figure it out.

Clark has been on a tear over her last six games, averaging 18.0 points and 11.5 assists per game. She's cracked double-digit assists in five of those six games, so we can look for her to go over 9.5 assists at -110 odds tonight.

For as well as she's passed the rock of late, Clark's matchup is the biggest draw here. CC already dished out 12 assists against the Mercury a few weeks back, and Phoenix has given up dimes in bunches all year.

Opposing teams have the third-highest two-point assist rate (65.8%) and fifth-highest three-point assist rate (88.2%) against the Mercury, according to PBP Stats.

They've surrendered the second-most assists to guards (13.5), per RotoWire. But with Diana Taurasi out, we could see Clark and the Indiana guards surpass even that gaudy number.

In 11 games since Brittney Griner's return, the Mercury have surrendered 113.1 points and 31.8 assists per 100 possessions with Taurasi off the floor (per PBP). Those would be the worst marks in the W by a significant margin.

A slate-high 175 over/under should only add to Clark's assist chances, and it doesn't hurt that both teams are in the top half of the league in pace.

Las Vegas Aces at Atlanta Dream

Aces -14.5 (-110)

Though Vegas started just 6-6, they've been on an absolute tear since Chelsea Gray made her season debut. Over their last nine games, the Aces are 8-1 and have outscored opponents by an average of 15.4 points per 100 possessions.

With Gray active, Vegas has only allowed 96 points per 100 -- a major improvement from the 103.7 points per 100 they gave up without her.

The offense is firing on all cylinders, too, and the WNBA future market has them at +145 odds to win the WNBA Championship this season.

So, while 14.5 is a mighty high spread, the Aces certainly have the personnel to cover. Four of their eight wins with Gray active have come by 15+, after all.

With Atlanta missing several key players, they'll have a good shot of upping that to five.

The Dream will be without both starting guards -- Jordin Canada and Rhyne Howard -- as well as a backup guard in Aerial Powers.

With both Canada and Howard off the floor, the Dream have been outscored by 6.3 points per 100 possessions. Their defense has been the biggest issue, as they're allowing 103.5 points per 100 in that split.

Atlanta did beat Vegas, 78-74, earlier this season, but that was before Gray was back in the lineup. They've been rolling since and should make short work of a short-handed Dream side tonight.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.