Winthrop vs Longwood Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Big South Tournament

The No. 3 seed Winthrop Eagles (21-10, 11-5 Big South) are squaring off against the No. 6 seed Longwood Lancers (18-13, 7-9 Big South) in the Big South tournament on Friday at Freedom Hall Civic Center, at 8:30 p.m. ET airing on ESPN+.
Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Winthrop vs. Longwood Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Friday, March 7, 2025
- Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN+
- Location: Johnson City, Tennessee
- Arena: Freedom Hall Civic Center
Winthrop vs. Longwood Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Winthrop win (61.7%)
Take a look at these betting trends and insights before you wager on Friday's Winthrop-Longwood spread (Winthrop -4.5) or total (159.5 points).
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Winthrop vs. Longwood: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Winthrop has put together a 15-13-0 record against the spread this season.
- Longwood has compiled a 12-16-0 ATS record so far this year.
- Winthrop and Longwood cover the same percentage of spreads this season (50%) when the spread conditions of the game are equal to or greater than Friday's line (Eagles as favorites by 4.5 or more and Lancers as underdogs by 4.5 or more).
- When playing at home, the Eagles sport a worse record against the spread (7-8-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (8-5-0).
- The Lancers' winning percentage against the spread at home is .462 (6-7-0). On the road, it is .417 (5-7-0).
- Winthrop has covered the spread nine times in 16 conference games.
- Longwood has beaten the spread six times in 16 Big South games.
Winthrop vs. Longwood: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Winthrop has come away with 17 wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- This year, the Eagles have won 12 of 13 games when listed as at least -192 or better on the moneyline.
- Longwood has won three of the nine games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (33.3%).
- When playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +158 or longer, the Lancers have a 2-4 record (winning only 33.3% of their games).
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies Winthrop has a 65.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Winthrop vs. Longwood Head-to-Head Comparison
- Winthrop's +212 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 85 points per game (fifth in college basketball) while allowing 78.2 per outing (326th in college basketball).
- Kelton Talford leads Winthrop, scoring 15.8 points per game (199th in the nation).
- Longwood puts up 78.2 points per game (75th in college basketball) while giving up 73.6 per contest (232nd in college basketball). It has a +142 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 4.6 points per game.
- Michael Christmas' 12.1 points per game leads Longwood and ranks 665th in the country.
- The Eagles grab 34.5 rebounds per game (54th in college basketball) while conceding 31.8 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 2.7 boards per game.
- Talford averages 7.7 rebounds per game (ranking 84th in college basketball) to lead the Eagles.
- The Lancers rank 223rd in the country at 31.2 rebounds per game. That's 2.8 more than the 28.4 their opponents average.
- Elijah Tucker leads the Lancers with 4.9 rebounds per game (651st in college basketball).
- Winthrop scores 100.5 points per 100 possessions (75th in college basketball), while giving up 92.4 points per 100 possessions (155th in college basketball).
- The Lancers score 99.9 points per 100 possessions (82nd in college basketball), while allowing 94.1 points per 100 possessions (197th in college basketball).
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