Virginia vs Notre Dame College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 27

The Virginia Cavaliers (16-3, 5-2 ACC) will look to continue a three-game road winning streak when they visit the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-9, 2-5 ACC) on January 27, 2026 at Purcell Pavilion.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Virginia vs. Notre Dame Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, January 27, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: South Bend, Indiana
• Arena: Purcell Pavilion

Before making a bet on Tuesday's Virginia-Notre Dame spread (Virginia -9.5) or total (144.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Virginia vs. Notre Dame: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Virginia is 12-7-0 ATS this season.
• Notre Dame has put together a 9-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Notre Dame covers the spread when it is a 9.5-point underdog or more 66.7% of the time. That's more often than Virginia covers as a favorite of 9.5 or more (60%).
• Against the spread, the Cavaliers have fared worse at home, covering six times in 11 home games, and four times in five road games.
• This season, the Fighting Irish are 4-6-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). On the road, they are 4-2-0 ATS (.667).
• Virginia is 5-2-0 against the spread in conference games this year.
• Notre Dame has won twice against the spread in ACC action this year.

Virginia vs. Notre Dame: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Virginia has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and has come away with the win 11 times (78.6%) in those contests.
• The Cavaliers have yet to lose in eight games when named as moneyline favorite of -581 or better.
• Notre Dame has gone 3-8 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 27.3% of those games).
• The Fighting Irish have played as a moneyline underdog of +420 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
• Virginia has an implied victory probability of 85.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Virginia vs. Notre Dame Head-to-Head Comparison

• Virginia averages 83.8 points per game (52nd in college basketball) while giving up 68.0 per contest (49th in college basketball). It has a +300 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 15.8 points per game.
• Virginia's leading scorer, Thijs De Ridder, is 198th in college basketball scoring 16.3 points per game.
• Notre Dame's +56 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 2.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 72.9 points per game (266th in college basketball) while giving up 70.1 per outing (91st in college basketball).
• Notre Dame's leading scorer, Jalen Haralson, is 320th in the nation, averaging 14.7 points per game.
• The Cavaliers win the rebound battle by 9.3 boards on average. They record 38.4 rebounds per game, which ranks ninth in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.1 per contest.
• Johann Grunloh tops the team with 6.7 rebounds per game (198th in college basketball action).
• The 34.6 rebounds per game the Fighting Irish accumulate rank 82nd in the country, 6.7 more than the 27.9 their opponents pull down.
• Carson Towt averages 9.9 rebounds per game (18th in college basketball) to lead the Fighting Irish.
• Virginia averages 105.8 points per 100 possessions (36th in college basketball), while giving up 85.9 points per 100 possessions (30th in college basketball).
• The Fighting Irish's 97.6 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 181st in college basketball, and the 93.9 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 186th in college basketball.

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