Villanova vs UCF Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for April 5

The Villanova Wildcats (21-14) will attempt to continue a six-game home win streak when they square off against the UCF Knights (19-16) on April 5, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Villanova vs. UCF Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, April 5, 2025
• Game time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV channel: FOX
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
• Arena: T-Mobile Arena

Villanova vs. UCF Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Villanova win (67.4%)

Take a look at some betting insights for Villanova (-3.5) versus UCF on Saturday. The total is set at 156.5 points for this game.

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Villanova vs. UCF: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Villanova has won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 17 times.
• UCF has won 16 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 19 times.
• Villanova covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point favorite or more 52.6% of the time. That's less often than UCF covers as an underdog of 3.5 or more (60%).
• The Wildcats have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 11 times in 17 opportunities at home, and they've covered three times in 11 opportunities in road games.
• In 2024-25 against the spread, the Knights have a lower winning percentage at home (.389, 7-11-0 record) than on the road (.500, 5-5-0).

Villanova vs. UCF: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Villanova has won in 17, or 70.8%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Wildcats have a mark of 15-5 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -156 or better on the moneyline.
• UCF is 5-13 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 27.8% of those games).
• The Knights are 4-10 (winning just 28.6% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer.
• Villanova has an implied victory probability of 60.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Villanova vs. UCF Head-to-Head Comparison

• Villanova's +216 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 73.3 points per game (193rd in college basketball) while giving up 67.1 per contest (44th in college basketball).
• Eric Dixon's 23.1 points per game lead Villanova and rank first in college basketball.
• UCF puts up 79.5 points per game (46th in college basketball) while giving up 80.0 per contest (345th in college basketball). It has a -18 scoring differential.
• Keyshawn Hall's 18.8 points per game leads UCF and ranks 50th in the country.
• The Wildcats prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. They are pulling down 30.6 rebounds per game (265th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 27.5 per outing.
• Wooga Poplar paces the team with 6.9 rebounds per game (177th in college basketball play).
• The 32.9 rebounds per game the Knights accumulate rank 126th in the country, 1.9 fewer than the 34.8 their opponents collect.
• Hall leads the team with 7.1 rebounds per game (154th in college basketball).
• Villanova's 103.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 29th in college basketball, and the 94.4 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 204th in college basketball.
• The Knights rank 210th in college basketball with 94.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 228th defensively with 95.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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